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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Immersive Sim + Visual Novel

Niche

Immersive Sim + Visual Novel

Games tagged both Immersive Sim and Visual Novel: 155 indie paid launches, 24 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Immersive Sim + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Immersive Sim + Visual Novel beats both its tags: 31.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.2 in 100 for Immersive Sim and 14.6 in 100 for Visual Novel.

That is about 1.7 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

2NDRunner-up
24.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.2 in 100
Typical earnings$18,621
Launches359 / 87 hits
Pair leads by7.6 in 100
1STWinner
This pairImmersive Sim + Visual Novel
31.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds31.8 in 100
Typical earnings$26,149
Launches44 / 14 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
3RDThird
14.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.6 in 100
Typical earnings$7,366
Launches460 / 67 hits
Pair leads by17.2 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 44 games tagged both Immersive Sim and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 31.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.2 for Immersive Sim-only games and 12.7 for Visual Novel-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 44 games priced $10 to $20; 31.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $26,149.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 44 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Chill with You : Lo-Fi Storyleads this pair17.0%
PairChill with You : Lo-Fi Story17.0%
Immersive SimRetro Rewind - Video Store Simulator3.7%
Visual NovelUntil Then7.5%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Immersive Sim + Visual Novel

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Chill with You : Lo-Fi Story earned 17.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 155 Immersive Sim + Visual Novel launches.
  • Immersive Sim is led by Retro Rewind - Video Store Simulator, with 3.7% of its money.
  • Visual Novel is led by Until Then, with 7.5% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Immersive Sim + Visual Novel is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.

Immersive Sim + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view117 of 155 launchesWithout the breakout154 of 155 launchesLast 18 months87 of 155 launches
Launches counted15524 hits11712 hits15423 hits8716 hits
Earned $100k+15.5 in 10010.3 in 10014.9 in 10018.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$3,911top tenth $182,270+$1,982$3,911$1,840
Chance against standardthe yardstick-33.5%5.2 fewer in 100-3.9%0.6 fewer in 100+18.7%2.9 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-49.3%$1,929 less0.0%no change-53.0%$2,071 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Immersive Sim and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 155 launches.

Launches counted
15524 hits
Earned $100k+
15.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$3,911top tenth $182,270+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 155 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
11712 hits
Earned $100k+
10.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,982
Chance against standard
-33.5%5.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-49.3%$1,929 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Chill with You : Lo-Fi Story (17.0% of the money): 154 launches left.

Launches counted
15423 hits
Earned $100k+
14.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$3,911
Chance against standard
-3.9%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 87 of 155.

Launches counted
8716 hits
Earned $100k+
18.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,840
Chance against standard
+18.7%2.9 more in 100
Typical against standard
-53.0%$2,071 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Immersive Sim and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 155 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 155 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Chill with You : Lo-Fi Story (17.0% of the money): 154 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 87 of 155.

Immersive Sim holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Immersive Sim through every lens, all prices
Immersive SimBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,452 of 1,559 launchesWithout the breakout1,558 of 1,559 launchesLast 18 months864 of 1,559 launches
Launches counted1,559155 hits1,452136 hits1,558154 hits86486 hits
Earned $100k+9.9 in 1001 in 109.4 in 1001 in 119.9 in 1001 in 1010.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,456top tenth $99,667+$1,416$1,456$1,274
Chance against standardthe yardstick-5.1%0.5 fewer in 1000.0%no change+1.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-2.7%$40 less0.0%no change-12.5%$182 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Immersive Sim, 6 to 30 months old: 1,559 launches.

Launches counted
1,559155 hits
Earned $100k+
9.9 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$1,456top tenth $99,667+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 107 of 1,559 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,452136 hits
Earned $100k+
9.4 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,416
Chance against standard
-5.1%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.7%$40 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Retro Rewind - Video Store Simulator (3.7% of the money): 1,558 launches left.

Launches counted
1,558154 hits
Earned $100k+
9.9 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$1,456
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 864 of 1,559.

Launches counted
86486 hits
Earned $100k+
10.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,274
Chance against standard
+1.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
-12.5%$182 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Immersive Sim, 6 to 30 months old: 1,559 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 107 of 1,559 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Retro Rewind - Video Store Simulator (3.7% of the money): 1,558 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 864 of 1,559.

Visual Novel is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual NovelBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,823 of 2,114 launchesWithout the breakout2,113 of 2,114 launchesLast 18 months1,162 of 2,114 launches
Launches counted2,114130 hits1,823100 hits2,113129 hits1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+6.1 in 1001 in 165.5 in 1001 in 186.1 in 1001 in 165.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$1,293top tenth $48,802+$1,214$1,287$910
Chance against standardthe yardstick-9.8%0.6 fewer in 1000.0%no change-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-6.1%$79 less-0.5%$6 less-29.6%$383 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.

Launches counted
2,114130 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,293top tenth $48,802+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,823100 hits
Earned $100k+
5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$1,214
Chance against standard
-9.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-6.1%$79 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.

Launches counted
2,113129 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,287
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-0.5%$6 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

Launches counted
1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$910
Chance against standard
-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-29.6%$383 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Immersive Sim + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.