Niche

Idler + RPG

Games tagged both Idler and RPG: 119 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Idler + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Idler and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Idler and is too small to compare with RPG.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Idler + RPG is too small to compare with Idler and is too small to compare with RPG: 3 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.2 in 100 for Idler and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.

Small sample: 11 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneIdler

22.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.2 in 100

Typical earnings$12,154

Launches36 / 8 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairIdler + RPG

3 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 11 launches

Typical earnings$5,569

Launches11 / 3 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoRPG

17.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.6 in 100

Typical earnings$8,454

Launches786 / 138 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices119 in pair Under $580 in pair $5 to $1028 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Idler and RPG priced $10 to $20. 3 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 5 of 25 for Idler-only games and 17.4 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Idler alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 11 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,569.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Multiverse Loot Hunterleads this pair17.8%

PairMultiverse Loot Hunter17.8%

IdlerSpirit City: Lofi Sessions10.6%

RPGPath of Exile 218.0%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Idler + RPG

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Multiverse Loot Hunter earned 17.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 119 Idler + RPG launches.
Idler is led by Spirit City: Lofi Sessions, with 10.6% of its money.
RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 18.0% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Idler + RPG holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Idler + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view94 of 119 launches	Without the breakout118 of 119 launches	Last 18 months39 of 119 launches
Launches counted	1196 hits	945 hits	1185 hits	393 hits
Earned $100k+	5.0 in 1001 in 20	5.3 in 1001 in 19	4.2 in 1001 in 24	3 of 39too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$1,252top tenth $50,761+	$1,297	$1,252	$1,339
Chance against standard	the base	+5.5%0.3 more in 100	-16.0%0.8 fewer in 100	+52.6%2.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+3.6%$45 more; too few to tell	0.0%no change	+6.9%$87 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Idler and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 119 launches.

Launches counted: 1196 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $1,252top tenth $50,761+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 119 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 945 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $1,297
Chance against standard: +5.5%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +3.6%$45 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Multiverse Loot Hunter (17.8% of the money): 118 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1185 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $1,252
Chance against standard: -16.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 119.

Launches counted: 393 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 39too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,339
Chance against standard: +52.6%2.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +6.9%$87 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Idler and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 119 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 119 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Multiverse Loot Hunter (17.8% of the money): 118 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 119.

Idler holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Idler through every lens, all prices
Idler	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view767 of 841 launches	Without the breakout840 of 841 launches	Last 18 months336 of 841 launches
Launches counted	84138 hits	76732 hits	84037 hits	33619 hits
Earned $100k+	4.5 in 1001 in 22	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.4 in 1001 in 23	5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$478top tenth $31,571+	$478	$478	$459
Chance against standard	the base	-7.7%0.3 fewer in 100	-2.5%0.1 fewer in 100	+25.1%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-4.0%$19 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Idler, 12 to 36 months old: 841 launches.

Launches counted: 84138 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $478top tenth $31,571+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 74 of 841 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 76732 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $478
Chance against standard: -7.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Spirit City: Lofi Sessions (10.6% of the money): 840 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 84037 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $478
Chance against standard: -2.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 841.

Launches counted: 33619 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $459
Chance against standard: +25.1%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: -4.0%$19 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Idler, 12 to 36 months old: 841 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 74 of 841 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Spirit City: Lofi Sessions (10.6% of the money): 840 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 841.

RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPG	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launches	Without the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launches	Last 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches
Launches counted	3,715270 hits	3,125225 hits	3,714269 hits	1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+	7.3 in 1001 in 14	7.2 in 1001 in 14	7.2 in 1001 in 14	8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$675top tenth $51,629+	$729	$675	$859
Chance against standard	the base	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.3%no change	+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+8.0%$54 more	0.0%no change	+27.3%$184 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.

Launches counted: 3,715270 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $675top tenth $51,629+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,125225 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $729
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +8.0%$54 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,714269 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $675
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

Launches counted: 1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $859
Chance against standard: +10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +27.3%$184 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Idler + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.