Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Horror + Retro: a typical launch earns $1,574 in its first year
That is the median of 105 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 10 of 207 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 32% on the year before: 151 against 114.
- Price
- $1,574 median of 105 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −22.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 151 114 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 296 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 810 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.46%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.22% to 0.87% | 43 ranked of 296 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,555 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.24xhits against expected | 0.86x to 1.85x | 207 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,572 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +6%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −11% to +25% | 47 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,225 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +3%review growth against same-age games | −5% to +11% | 47 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,823 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 207
- Hit rate
- 4.8%2.8% to 11.7%
- Expected rate
- 3.6%
- Against expected
- 1.24x0.86x to 1.85x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
207 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $121
- Median
- $1,574
- Top tenth
- $43,424
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +32%
- Against Steam
- −3%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Mouthwashing (opens the Steam store)2024 · 34,448 reviews, 95% positiveest. $9M
- Crow Country (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,791 reviews, 97% positiveest. $3.2M
- Shift At Midnight (opens the Steam store)2026 · 10,587 reviews, 88% positiveest. $1.9M
- KinitoPET (opens the Steam store)2024 · 13,472 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.6M
- MOLE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,687 reviews, 97% positiveest. $933k
- Is this Game Trying to Kill Me? (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,516 reviews, 95% positiveest. $460k
- Photomaly (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,353 reviews, 89% positiveest. $192k
- No Players Online (opens the Steam store)2025 · 627 reviews, 83% positiveest. $190k
More with Horror
pairs with Horror- Horror + Co-op$7,08089 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Online Co-Op$5,819120 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Multiplayer$5,680106 launches priced, 172 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Lovecraftian$3,41850 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Roguelike$3,33937 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Text-Based$2,83130 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
More with Retro
pairs with Retro- Story Rich + Retro$3,28551 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Retro$1,59566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Retro$1,45461 launches priced, 124 releases in 12 months
- Retro + 1990's$1,41683 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
- Retro + Mystery$1,40436 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Retro + Dark$1,37140 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.