Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Historical + War
Historical + War
Games tagged both Historical and War: 49 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Historical + War priced $20 to $40. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $20 to $40 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Historical + War trails both its tags: 5 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $20 to $40, against 50.0 in 100 for Historical and 46.5 in 100 for War.
Small sample: 19 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Historical and War priced $20 to $40. 26.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 62.9 for Historical-only games and 62.5 for War-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 19 games priced $20 to $40; 26.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $17,612.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Historical + War is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view42 of 49 launches | Without the breakout48 of 49 launches | Last 18 months30 of 49 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 497 hits | 426 hits | 486 hits | 306 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 14.3 in 100 | 14.3 in 100 | 12.5 in 100 | 20.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $4,554top tenth $209,223+ | $4,855 | $4,554 | $6,150 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -12.6%1.8 fewer in 100 | +39.9%5.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +6.6%$301 more | 0.0%no change | +35.0%$1,596 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Historical and War, 6 to 30 months old: 49 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 49 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Master of Command (46.6% of the money): 48 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 30 of 49.
Historical holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Historical | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view395 of 450 launches | Without the breakout449 of 450 launches | Last 18 months228 of 450 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 45057 hits | 39552 hits | 44956 hits | 22828 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.7 in 100 | 13.2 in 100 | 12.5 in 100 | 12.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,223top tenth $226,743+ | $2,223 | $2,183 | $1,920 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%0.5 more in 100 | -1.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -3.1%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.8%$40 less | -13.6%$303 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Historical, 6 to 30 months old: 450 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 55 of 450 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (49.8% of the money): 449 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 228 of 450.
War holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| War | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view293 of 316 launches | Without the breakout315 of 316 launches | Last 18 months170 of 316 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 31636 hits | 29334 hits | 31535 hits | 17021 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.6 in 100 | 11.1 in 100 | 12.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,514top tenth $118,546+ | $1,578 | $1,456 | $1,415 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.8%0.2 more in 100 | -2.6%0.3 fewer in 100 | +8.8%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.2%$64 more | -3.8%$58 less | -6.5%$99 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged War, 6 to 30 months old: 316 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 316 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (27.9% of the money): 315 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 170 of 316.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Historical + War moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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