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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy

Niche

Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy

Games tagged both Grand Strategy and Turn-Based Strategy: 60 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Grand Strategy and beats Turn-Based Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Grand Strategy and is too small to compare with Turn-Based Strategy.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy is too small to compare with Grand Strategy and is too small to compare with Turn-Based Strategy: 3 of its 17 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 4 of 52 launches for Grand Strategy and 19.6 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy.

Small sample: 17 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneGrand Strategy
4 of 52launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds4 of 52 launches
$1k+83 in 100
$10k+38 in 100
Launches52 / 4 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairGrand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy
3 of 17launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 17 launches
$1k+15 of 17 launches
$10k+9 of 17 launches
Launches17 / 3 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoTurn-Based Strategy
19.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds19.6 in 100
Typical earnings$11,113
Launches276 / 54 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices60 in pairUnder $516 in pair$5 to $1017 in pair$10 to $2017 in pair$20 to $4010 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both Grand Strategy and Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. 3 of 17 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 35 for Grand Strategy-only games and 19.7 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Grand Strategy alone and is too small to compare with Turn-Based Strategy alone.

Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 17 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 17 launches · $10k+ 9 of 17 launches · $100k+ 3 of 17 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdomsleads this pair44.6%
PairHeroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms44.6%
Grand StrategyManor Lords72.1%
Turn-Based StrategyFor The King II8.9%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms earned 44.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 60 Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy launches.
  • Grand Strategy is led by Manor Lords, with 72.1% of its money.
  • Turn-Based Strategy is led by For The King II, with 8.9% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view56 of 60 launchesWithout the breakout59 of 60 launchesLast 18 months21 of 60 launches
Launches counted607 hits566 hits596 hits211 hits
Earned $100k+11.7 in 10010.7 in 10010.2 in 1001 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 63 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base-8.2%1.0 fewer in 100-12.8%1.5 fewer in 100-59.2%6.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Grand Strategy and Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.

Launches counted
607 hits
Earned $100k+
11.7 in 100
Chance of $10k+
25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 63 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
566 hits
Earned $100k+
10.7 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-8.2%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms (44.6% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
596 hits
Earned $100k+
10.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-12.8%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 60.

Launches counted
211 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-59.2%6.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Grand Strategy and Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms (44.6% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 60.

Grand Strategy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Grand Strategy through every lens, all prices
Grand StrategyBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view193 of 203 launchesWithout the breakout202 of 203 launchesLast 18 months61 of 203 launches
Launches counted20326 hits19324 hits20225 hits614 hits
Earned $100k+12.8 in 10012.4 in 10012.4 in 1004 of 61too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$2,276top tenth $163,489+$2,276$2,276under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base-2.9%0.4 fewer in 100-3.4%0.4 fewer in 100-48.8%6.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change0.0%no changeunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Grand Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 203 launches.

Launches counted
20326 hits
Earned $100k+
12.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,276top tenth $163,489+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
19324 hits
Earned $100k+
12.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,276
Chance against standard
-2.9%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (72.1% of the money): 202 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
20225 hits
Earned $100k+
12.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,276
Chance against standard
-3.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 203.

Launches counted
614 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 61too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-48.8%6.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Grand Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 203 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (72.1% of the money): 202 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 203.

Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Turn-Based Strategy through every lens, all prices
Turn-Based StrategyBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view943 of 1,085 launchesWithout the breakout1,084 of 1,085 launchesLast 18 months350 of 1,085 launches
Launches counted1,08588 hits94380 hits1,08487 hits35026 hits
Earned $100k+8.1 in 1001 in 128.5 in 1001 in 128.0 in 1001 in 127.4 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$929top tenth $65,680+$1,060$929$857
Chance against standardthe base+4.6%0.4 more in 100-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-8.4%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+14.1%$131 more0.0%no change-7.8%$72 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,085 launches.

Launches counted
1,08588 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$929top tenth $65,680+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,085 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
94380 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,060
Chance against standard
+4.6%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+14.1%$131 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (8.9% of the money): 1,084 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,08487 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$929
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 350 of 1,085.

Launches counted
35026 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$857
Chance against standard
-8.4%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-7.8%$72 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,085 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,085 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (8.9% of the money): 1,084 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 350 of 1,085.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Grand Strategy + Turn-Based Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.