Niche

Grand Strategy + RTS

Games tagged both Grand Strategy and RTS: 56 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Grand Strategy + RTS priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Grand Strategy and is about level with RTS; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Grand Strategy and is too small to compare with RTS.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Grand Strategy + RTS is too small to compare with Grand Strategy and is too small to compare with RTS: 0 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 3 of 52 launches for Grand Strategy and 16.2 in 100 for RTS.

Small sample: 20 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneGrand Strategy

3 of 52launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 52 launches

Typical earnings$4,706

Launches52 / 3 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairGrand Strategy + RTS

0 of 20launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 20 launches

Typical earnings$5,678

Launches20 / 0 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoRTS

16.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.2 in 100

Typical earnings$10,586

Launches111 / 18 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices56 in pair Under $512 in pair $5 to $1017 in pair $10 to $2020 in pair$20 to $407: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Grand Strategy and RTS priced $10 to $20. 0 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 3 of 32 for Grand Strategy-only games and 19.8 in 100 for RTS-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Grand Strategy alone and is too small to compare with RTS alone.

Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 20 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,678.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Age of History 3leads this pair56.4%

PairAge of History 356.4%

Grand StrategyManor Lords71.4%

RTSTempest Rising15.8%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Grand Strategy + RTS

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Age of History 3 earned 56.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 56 Grand Strategy + RTS launches.
Grand Strategy is led by Manor Lords, with 71.4% of its money.
RTS is led by Tempest Rising, with 15.8% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Grand Strategy + RTS is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Grand Strategy + RTS through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view51 of 56 launches	Without the breakout55 of 56 launches	Last 18 months19 of 56 launches
Launches counted	565 hits	515 hits	554 hits	191 hits
Earned $100k+	8.9 in 1001 in 11	9.8 in 1001 in 10	4 of 55too few for a rate	1 of 19too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$2,489top tenth $61,759+	$2,554	$2,480	$2,367
Chance against standard	the base	+9.8%0.9 more in 100	-18.5%1.7 fewer in 100	-41.1%3.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+2.6%$65 more; too few to tell	-0.4%$9 less	-4.9%$122 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Grand Strategy and RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 56 launches.

Launches counted: 565 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $2,489top tenth $61,759+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 56 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 515 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,554
Chance against standard: +9.8%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.6%$65 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Age of History 3 (56.4% of the money): 55 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 554 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 55too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $2,480
Chance against standard: -18.5%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$9 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 56.

Launches counted: 191 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 19too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $2,367
Chance against standard: -41.1%3.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -4.9%$122 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Grand Strategy and RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 56 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 56 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Age of History 3 (56.4% of the money): 55 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 56.

Grand Strategy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Grand Strategy through every lens, all prices
Grand Strategy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view193 of 203 launches	Without the breakout202 of 203 launches	Last 18 months62 of 203 launches
Launches counted	20323 hits	19321 hits	20222 hits	624 hits
Earned $100k+	11.3 in 100	10.9 in 100	10.9 in 100	4 of 62too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$2,042top tenth $122,617+	$2,042	$2,042	$1,914
Chance against standard	the base	-4.0%0.4 fewer in 100	-3.9%0.4 fewer in 100	-43.1%4.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-6.3%$128 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Grand Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 203 launches.

Launches counted: 20323 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,042top tenth $122,617+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 19321 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,042
Chance against standard: -4.0%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (71.4% of the money): 202 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 20222 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,042
Chance against standard: -3.9%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 203.

Launches counted: 624 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 62too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,914
Chance against standard: -43.1%4.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -6.3%$128 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Grand Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 203 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (71.4% of the money): 202 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 203.

RTS is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RTS through every lens, all prices
RTS	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view461 of 498 launches	Without the breakout497 of 498 launches	Last 18 months147 of 498 launches
Launches counted	49838 hits	46137 hits	49737 hits	14714 hits
Earned $100k+	7.6 in 1001 in 13	8.0 in 1001 in 12	7.4 in 1001 in 13	9.5 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$669top tenth $61,759+	$765	$648	$919
Chance against standard	the base	+5.2%0.4 more in 100	-2.4%0.2 fewer in 100	+24.8%1.9 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+14.3%$96 more	-3.1%$21 less	+37.4%$250 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 498 launches.

Launches counted: 49838 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $669top tenth $61,759+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 498 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 46137 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $765
Chance against standard: +5.2%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +14.3%$96 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (15.8% of the money): 497 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 49737 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $648
Chance against standard: -2.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.1%$21 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 498.

Launches counted: 14714 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.5 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $919
Chance against standard: +24.8%1.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: +37.4%$250 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 498 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 498 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (15.8% of the money): 497 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 498.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Grand Strategy + RTS moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.