Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Futuristic + Puzzle
Futuristic + Puzzle
Games tagged both Futuristic and Puzzle: 70 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Futuristic + Puzzle priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it trails Futuristic and is level with Puzzle.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Futuristic + Puzzle trails Futuristic and is level with Puzzle: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.5 in 100 for Futuristic and 0.3 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Futuristic and Puzzle priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.6 for Futuristic-only games and 0.3 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix trails Futuristic alone and is level with Puzzle alone.
Both: 42 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $121.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Futuristic + Puzzle is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view69 of 70 launches | Without the breakout69 of 70 launches | Last 18 months41 of 70 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 701 hits | 691 hits | 690 hits | 410 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 0.0 in 100 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $6,008+ | $405 | $403 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -100.0%1.4 fewer in 100 | -100.0%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.5%$2 less | -50.1%$203 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Futuristic and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 70 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 70 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, shapez 2 - Factory (97.3% of the money): 69 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 70.
Futuristic is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Futuristic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view453 of 461 launches | Without the breakout460 of 461 launches | Last 18 months227 of 461 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 46130 hits | 45330 hits | 46029 hits | 22710 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $27,121+ | $484 | $485 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.5%0.1 more in 100 | -3.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -32.3%2.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -0.2%$1 less | 0.0%no change | -25.2%$122 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Futuristic, 6 to 30 months old: 461 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 461 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, shapez 2 - Factory (28.4% of the money): 460 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 227 of 461.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Futuristic + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.