Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / FPS / Walking Simulator
FPS + Walking Simulator: a typical launch earns $646 in its first year
That is the median of 53 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 112 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 15% on the year before: 69 against 60.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $646 median of 53 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +6.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 69 60 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 90 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 344 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.82xhits against expected | 0.60x to 1.46x | 112 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,967 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 112
- Hit rate
- 1.8%0.0% to 3.9%
- Expected rate
- 2.8%
- Against expected
- 0.82x0.60x to 1.46x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
112 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $42
- Median
- $576
- Top tenth
- $6,566
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +15%
Parent tags
- FPSGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Walking SimulatorGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Hail to the Rainbow (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,548 reviews, 90% positiveest. $773k
- The Skin Stapler (opens the Steam store)2026 · 494 reviews, 90% positiveest. $150k
- It Takes a War (opens the Steam store)2025 · 895 reviews, 91% positiveest. $109k
- Project Songbird (opens the Steam store)2026 · 198 reviews, 84% positiveest. $60k
- ?? Movie Theater (opens the Steam store)2025 · 153 reviews, 98% positiveest. $15k
- Alice's Lullaby (opens the Steam store)2024 · 37 reviews, 83% positiveest. $10k to $100k
- MIRO (opens the Steam store)2025 · 32 reviews, 100% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- DEATHLOOP 4 YOU (opens the Steam store)2026 · 64 reviews, 95% positiveest. $9.6k
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with Walking Simulator
pairs with Walking Simulator- Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Walking Simulator$3,57532 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Walking Simulator + Supernatural$3,23435 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Walking Simulator$2,627119 launches priced, 186 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Walking Simulator$2,122146 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Walking Simulator$2,02077 launches priced, 151 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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