Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
FPS + RPG
Games tagged both FPS and RPG: 87 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing FPS + RPG priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with FPS and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
14 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
14 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both FPS and RPG priced $10 to $20. 4 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 24.8 in 100 for FPS-only games and 20.1 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with FPS alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.
Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 14 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 11 of 14 launches · $10k+ 6 of 14 launches · $100k+ 4 of 14 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
FPS + RPG is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view73 of 87 launches | Without the breakout86 of 87 launches | Last 18 months29 of 87 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 878 hits | 738 hits | 867 hits | 294 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 11.0 in 100 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 4 of 29too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 20 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 34 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +19.2%1.8 more in 100 | -11.5%1.1 fewer in 100 | +50.0%4.6 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both FPS and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 87 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Witchfire (52.8% of the money): 86 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 29 of 87.
FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| FPS | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,259 of 1,295 launches | Without the breakout1,294 of 1,295 launches | Last 18 months379 of 1,295 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,295111 hits | 1,259110 hits | 1,294110 hits | 37940 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 10.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $548top tenth $59,450+ | $558 | $548 | $625 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.9%0.2 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +23.1%2.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.8%$10 more | 0.0%no change | +14.1%$77 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,295 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,295 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.9% of the money): 1,294 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 379 of 1,295.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,132 of 3,723 launches | Without the breakout3,722 of 3,723 launches | Last 18 months1,023 of 3,723 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,723297 hits | 3,132251 hits | 3,722296 hits | 1,02385 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $701top tenth $63,965+ | $766 | $701 | $893 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +4.2%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +9.3%$65 more | 0.0%no change | +27.4%$192 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,723 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 591 of 3,723 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,722 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,723.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when FPS + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.