Niche

FMV + Multiple Endings

Games tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings: 40 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months Reset

Showing FMV + Multiple Endings priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with FMV and is too small to compare with Multiple Endings.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

FMV + Multiple Endings is too small to compare with FMV and is too small to compare with Multiple Endings: 10 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 47.5 in 100 for FMV and 23.6 in 100 for Multiple Endings.

Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 16 launches, 10 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneFMV

47.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds47.5 in 100

$1k+93 in 100

$10k+80 in 100

Launches40 / 19 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairFMV + Multiple Endings

10 of 16launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds10 of 16 launches

$1k+16 of 16 launches

$10k+14 of 16 launches

Launches16 / 10 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIETied

Tag twomood tagMultiple Endings

23.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds23.6 in 100

Typical earnings$12,707

Launches203 / 48 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Multiple Endings is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices40 in pairUnder $55: too few$5 to $1019 in pair $10 to $2016 in pair$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings priced $10 to $20. 10 of 16 of them earned $100k+, against 9 of 24 for FMV-only games and 20.3 in 100 for Multiple Endings-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with FMV alone and is too small to compare with Multiple Endings alone.

Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 10 of 16 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 16 of 16 launches · $10k+ 14 of 16 launches · $100k+ 10 of 16 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Revenge on gold diggersleads this pair41.2%

PairRevenge on gold diggers41.2%

FMVRevenge on gold diggers24.2%

Multiple EndingsLegend of Mortal10.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads FMV + Multiple Endings

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Revenge on gold diggers earned 41.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 40 FMV + Multiple Endings launches.
It also leads FMV, with 24.2% of that tag's money.
Multiple Endings is led by Legend of Mortal, with 10.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

FMV + Multiple Endings holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

FMV + Multiple Endings through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view19 of 40 launches	Without the breakout39 of 40 launches	Last 18 months19 of 40 launches
Launches counted	4016 hits	196 hits	3915 hits	199 hits
Earned $100k+	40.0 in 100	6 of 19too few for a rate	38.5 in 100	9 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	80 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 95 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-21.1%8.4 fewer in 100	-3.8%1.5 fewer in 100	+18.4%7.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 40 launches.

Launches counted: 4016 hits
Earned $100k+: 40.0 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 80 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 95 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 196 hits
Earned $100k+: 6 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -21.1%8.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (41.2% of the money): 39 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3915 hits
Earned $100k+: 38.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -3.8%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 40.

Launches counted: 199 hits
Earned $100k+: 9 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +18.4%7.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 40 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (41.2% of the money): 39 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 40.

FMV is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

FMV through every lens, all prices
FMV	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view106 of 148 launches	Without the breakout147 of 148 launches	Last 18 months60 of 148 launches
Launches counted	14832 hits	10618 hits	14731 hits	6016 hits
Earned $100k+	21.6 in 100	17.0 in 100	21.1 in 100	26.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$10,878top tenth $299,036+	$5,519	$10,634	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-21.5%4.6 fewer in 100	-2.5%0.5 fewer in 100	+23.3%5.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-49.3%$5,359 less	-2.2%$244 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 12 to 36 months old: 148 launches.

Launches counted: 14832 hits
Earned $100k+: 21.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $10,878top tenth $299,036+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 148 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 10618 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $5,519
Chance against standard: -21.5%4.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -49.3%$5,359 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (24.2% of the money): 147 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 14731 hits
Earned $100k+: 21.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $10,634
Chance against standard: -2.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.2%$244 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 60 of 148.

Launches counted: 6016 hits
Earned $100k+: 26.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +23.3%5.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 12 to 36 months old: 148 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 148 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (24.2% of the money): 147 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 60 of 148.

Multiple Endings is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Multiple Endings through every lens, all prices
Multiple Endings	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view974 of 1,117 launches	Without the breakout1,116 of 1,117 launches	Last 18 months336 of 1,117 launches
Launches counted	1,11798 hits	97470 hits	1,11697 hits	33631 hits
Earned $100k+	8.8 in 1001 in 11	7.2 in 1001 in 14	8.7 in 1001 in 12	9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,192top tenth $85,803+	$1,170	$1,192	$1,214
Chance against standard	the base	-18.1%1.6 fewer in 100	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	+5.2%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.8%$22 less	0.0%no change	+1.8%$22 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 1,117 launches.

Launches counted: 1,11798 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,192top tenth $85,803+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 1,117 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 97470 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,170
Chance against standard: -18.1%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.8%$22 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.9% of the money): 1,116 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,11697 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.7 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,192
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 1,117.

Launches counted: 33631 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,214
Chance against standard: +5.2%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.8%$22 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 12 to 36 months old: 1,117 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 1,117 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.9% of the money): 1,116 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 1,117.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

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