Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / FMV + Interactive Fiction
FMV + Interactive Fiction
Games tagged both FMV and Interactive Fiction: 94 indie paid launches, 25 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing FMV + Interactive Fiction priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
FMV + Interactive Fiction beats both its tags: 53.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 47.1 in 100 for FMV and 16.7 in 100 for Interactive Fiction.
That is about 2.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both FMV and Interactive Fiction priced $10 to $20. 53.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 36.8 for FMV-only games and 11.8 for Interactive Fiction-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 53.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $118,000.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
FMV + Interactive Fiction is audience-sensitive: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view60 of 94 launches | Without the breakout93 of 94 launches | Last 18 months67 of 94 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9425 hits | 6014 hits | 9324 hits | 6718 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 26.6 in 100 | 23.3 in 100 | 25.8 in 100 | 26.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $20,945top tenth $248,141+ | $7,073 | $20,027 | $20,027 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -12.4%3.3 fewer in 100 | -3.0%0.8 fewer in 100 | +1.1%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -66.2%$13,872 less | -4.4%$918 less | -4.4%$918 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both FMV and Interactive Fiction, 6 to 30 months old: 94 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 94 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (31.5% of the money): 93 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 67 of 94.
FMV is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| FMV | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view121 of 172 launches | Without the breakout171 of 172 launches | Last 18 months114 of 172 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 17238 hits | 12121 hits | 17137 hits | 11428 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 22.1 in 100 | 17.4 in 100 | 21.6 in 100 | 24.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $10,510top tenth $228,875+ | $4,855 | $10,043 | $15,865 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -21.3%4.7 fewer in 100 | -2.3%0.5 fewer in 100 | +11.3%2.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -53.8%$5,655 less | -4.4%$467 less | +51.0%$5,355 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 6 to 30 months old: 172 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 51 of 172 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (21.3% of the money): 171 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 172.
Interactive Fiction holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Interactive Fiction | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,254 of 1,438 launches | Without the breakout1,437 of 1,438 launches | Last 18 months817 of 1,438 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,43884 hits | 1,25464 hits | 1,43783 hits | 81755 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $909top tenth $41,699+ | $849 | $909 | $787 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -12.1%0.7 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | +15.5%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%$60 less | 0.0%no change | -13.4%$122 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Interactive Fiction, 6 to 30 months old: 1,438 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 184 of 1,438 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (10.3% of the money): 1,437 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 817 of 1,438.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when FMV + Interactive Fiction moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.