Niche

Flight + Physics

Games tagged both Flight and Physics: 47 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5 30+ launches Reset

Showing Flight + Physics priced under $5, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with Flight and is too small to compare with Physics; priced under $5 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

23 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie

Tag oneFlight

0 of 147launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 147 launches

Typical earnings$63

Launches147 / 0 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pairFlight + Physics

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches23

23 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagPhysics

2 of 656launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 656 launches

Typical earnings$126

Launches656 / 2 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Physics is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices47 in pair Under $523 in pair $5 to $1014 in pair$10 to $208: too few$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both Flight and Physics priced under $5. 0 of 23 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 124 for Flight-only games and 2 of 633 for Physics-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Flight alone and is too small to compare with Physics alone.

Both: 23 games priced under $5; 0 of 23 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 4 of 23 launches · $10k+ 0 of 23 launches · $100k+ 0 of 23 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Aviassemblyleads this pair44.9%

PairAviassembly44.9%

FlightAviassembly19.8%

PhysicsR.E.P.O.32.0%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Flight + Physics

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Aviassembly earned 44.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 47 Flight + Physics launches.
It also leads Flight, with 19.8% of that tag's money.
Physics is led by R.E.P.O., with 32.0% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Flight + Physics holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Flight + Physics through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view47 of 47 launches	Without the breakout46 of 47 launches	Last 18 months12 of 47 launches
Launches counted	474 hits	474 hits	463 hits	122 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 47too few for a rate	4 of 47too few for a rate	3 of 46too few for a rate	2 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	21 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 49 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-23.4%2.0 fewer in 100	+95.8%8.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Flight and Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 47 launches.

Launches counted: 474 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 47too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 21 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 49 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 47 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 474 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 47too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Aviassembly (44.9% of the money): 46 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 463 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 46too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -23.4%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 47.

Launches counted: 122 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +95.8%8.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Flight and Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 47 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 47 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Aviassembly (44.9% of the money): 46 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 47.

Flight holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Flight through every lens, all prices
Flight	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view290 of 303 launches	Without the breakout302 of 303 launches	Last 18 months77 of 303 launches
Launches counted	30319 hits	29018 hits	30218 hits	774 hits
Earned $100k+	6.3 in 1001 in 16	6.2 in 1001 in 16	6.0 in 1001 in 17	4 of 77too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$270top tenth $28,489+	$307	$270	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100	-4.9%0.3 fewer in 100	-17.2%1.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+13.7%$37 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Flight, 12 to 36 months old: 303 launches.

Launches counted: 30319 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $270top tenth $28,489+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 303 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 29018 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $307
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +13.7%$37 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Aviassembly (19.8% of the money): 302 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 30218 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $270
Chance against standard: -4.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 77 of 303.

Launches counted: 774 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 77too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -17.2%1.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Flight, 12 to 36 months old: 303 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 303 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Aviassembly (19.8% of the money): 302 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 77 of 303.

Physics is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Physics through every lens, all prices
Physics	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,121 of 1,142 launches	Without the breakout1,141 of 1,142 launches	Last 18 months311 of 1,142 launches
Launches counted	1,14275 hits	1,12174 hits	1,14174 hits	31128 hits
Earned $100k+	6.6 in 1001 in 15	6.6 in 1001 in 15	6.5 in 1001 in 15	9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$398top tenth $32,284+	$414	$398	$465
Chance against standard	the base	+0.5%no change	-1.2%0.1 fewer in 100	+37.1%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$16 more	0.0%no change	+16.8%$67 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,142 launches.

Launches counted: 1,14275 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $398top tenth $32,284+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,12174 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $414
Chance against standard: +0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +4.0%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (32.0% of the money): 1,141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,14174 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $398
Chance against standard: -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 311 of 1,142.

Launches counted: 31128 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $465
Chance against standard: +37.1%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +16.8%$67 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,142 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (32.0% of the money): 1,141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 311 of 1,142.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Flight + Physics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.