Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / First-Person + Surreal
First-Person + Surreal
Games tagged both First-Person and Surreal: 187 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing First-Person + Surreal priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with First-Person and is about level with Surreal; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with Surreal.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
First-Person + Surreal is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with Surreal: 4 of its 14 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.7 in 100 for First-Person and 19.2 in 100 for Surreal.
Small sample: 14 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both First-Person and Surreal priced $10 to $20. 4 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 20.5 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 17.2 in 100 for Surreal-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with First-Person alone and is too small to compare with Surreal alone.
Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 14 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $21,438.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
First-Person + Surreal holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view181 of 187 launches | Without the breakout186 of 187 launches | Last 18 months47 of 187 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 18710 hits | 18110 hits | 1869 hits | 470 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 0 of 47too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,019top tenth $31,219+ | $1,038 | $1,019 | $1,339 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.3%0.2 more in 100 | -9.5%0.5 fewer in 100 | -100.0%5.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.9%$19 more | 0.0%no change | +31.4%$320 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 187 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 187 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, POOLS (14.3% of the money): 186 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 47 of 187.
First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| First-Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,579 of 3,710 launches | Without the breakout3,709 of 3,710 launches | Last 18 months1,094 of 3,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,710239 hits | 3,579231 hits | 3,709238 hits | 1,09475 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $801top tenth $37,317+ | $802 | $798 | $766 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.2%no change | -0.4%no change | +6.4%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.1%$1 more | -0.4%$3 less | -4.4%$35 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.5% of the money): 3,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,094 of 3,710.
Surreal holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view552 of 578 launches | Without the breakout577 of 578 launches | Last 18 months156 of 578 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57831 hits | 55229 hits | 57730 hits | 1566 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,019top tenth $36,298+ | $1,012 | $1,018 | $1,243 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -28.3%1.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.7%$7 less | -0.1%$1 less | +22.0%$224 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 578 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 578 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.6% of the money): 577 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 156 of 578.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when First-Person + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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