Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / First-Person + Shooter
First-Person + Shooter
Games tagged both First-Person and Shooter: 614 indie paid launches, 52 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing First-Person + Shooter priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails First-Person and beats Shooter.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
First-Person + Shooter trails First-Person and beats Shooter: 21.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.2 in 100 for First-Person and 19.5 in 100 for Shooter.
That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 105 games tagged both First-Person and Shooter priced $10 to $20. 21.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.7 for First-Person-only games and 19.0 for Shooter-only games, so the mix trails First-Person alone and beats Shooter alone.
Both: 105 games priced $10 to $20; 21.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,160.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 105 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
First-Person + Shooter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view609 of 614 launches | Without the breakout613 of 614 launches | Last 18 months322 of 614 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 61452 hits | 60952 hits | 61351 hits | 32233 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 10.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $607top tenth $35,217+ | $607 | $607 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | +20.0%1.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 614 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 614 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bodycam (34.3% of the money): 613 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 322 of 614.
First-Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| First-Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,135 of 4,266 launches | Without the breakout4,265 of 4,266 launches | Last 18 months2,372 of 4,266 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,266296 hits | 4,135284 hits | 4,265295 hits | 2,372163 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $849top tenth $40,885+ | $849 | $849 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$121 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.
Shooter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Shooter | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,534 of 2,618 launches | Without the breakout2,617 of 2,618 launches | Last 18 months1,346 of 2,618 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,618155 hits | 2,534149 hits | 2,617154 hits | 1,34675 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $363top tenth $20,964+ | $403 | $363 | $324 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -5.1%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.0%$40 more | 0.0%no change | -10.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 2,618 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 84 of 2,618 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (19.2% of the money): 2,617 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,346 of 2,618.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when First-Person + Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.