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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / First-Person + Sandbox

Niche

First-Person + Sandbox

Games tagged both First-Person and Sandbox: 167 indie paid launches, 24 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing First-Person + Sandbox priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

First-Person + Sandbox beats First-Person and is about level with Sandbox: 28.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.7 in 100 for First-Person and 29.7 in 100 for Sandbox.

That is about 1.6 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird
Tag onemood tagFirst-Person
20.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.7 in 100
Typical earnings$8,437
Launches531 / 110 hits
Pair leads by7.4 in 100
TIEA tie
This pairFirst-Person + Sandbox
28.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds28.1 in 100
Typical earnings$25,531
Launches64 / 18 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoSandbox
29.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds29.7 in 100
Typical earnings$22,688
Launches360 / 107 hits
A tie, apart by1.6 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices167 in pairUnder $557 in pair$5 to $1039 in pair$10 to $2064 in pair$20 to $407: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 64 games tagged both First-Person and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 28.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.7 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 30.1 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix beats First-Person alone and is about level with Sandbox alone.

Both: 64 games priced $10 to $20; 28.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $25,531.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 64 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Cash Cleaner Simulatorleads this pair15.6%
PairCash Cleaner Simulator15.6%
First-PersonSchedule I16.5%
SandboxManor Lords22.8%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads First-Person + Sandbox

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Cash Cleaner Simulator earned 15.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 167 First-Person + Sandbox launches.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 16.5% of its money.
  • Sandbox is led by Manor Lords, with 22.8% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

First-Person + Sandbox holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person + Sandbox through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view165 of 167 launchesWithout the breakout166 of 167 launchesLast 18 months68 of 167 launches
Launches counted16724 hits16524 hits16623 hits689 hits
Earned $100k+14.4 in 10014.5 in 10013.9 in 10013.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$2,394top tenth $247,700+$2,613$2,394$2,613
Chance against standardthe base+1.2%0.2 more in 100-3.6%0.5 fewer in 100-7.9%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+9.1%$219 more0.0%no change+9.1%$219 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 167 launches.

Launches counted
16724 hits
Earned $100k+
14.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,394top tenth $247,700+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 167 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
16524 hits
Earned $100k+
14.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,613
Chance against standard
+1.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+9.1%$219 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Cash Cleaner Simulator (15.6% of the money): 166 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
16623 hits
Earned $100k+
13.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,394
Chance against standard
-3.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 68 of 167.

Launches counted
689 hits
Earned $100k+
13.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,613
Chance against standard
-7.9%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+9.1%$219 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 167 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 167 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Cash Cleaner Simulator (15.6% of the money): 166 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 68 of 167.

First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,579 of 3,710 launchesWithout the breakout3,709 of 3,710 launchesLast 18 months1,094 of 3,710 launches
Launches counted3,710239 hits3,579231 hits3,709238 hits1,09475 hits
Earned $100k+6.4 in 1001 in 166.5 in 1001 in 156.4 in 1001 in 166.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings$801top tenth $37,317+$802$798$766
Chance against standardthe base+0.2%no change-0.4%no change+6.4%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.1%$1 more-0.4%$3 less-4.4%$35 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,710 launches.

Launches counted
3,710239 hits
Earned $100k+
6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$801top tenth $37,317+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,579231 hits
Earned $100k+
6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$802
Chance against standard
+0.2%no change
Typical against standard
+0.1%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.5% of the money): 3,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,709238 hits
Earned $100k+
6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$798
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
-0.4%$3 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,094 of 3,710.

Launches counted
1,09475 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$766
Chance against standard
+6.4%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
-4.4%$35 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,710 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.5% of the money): 3,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,094 of 3,710.

Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Sandbox through every lens, all prices
SandboxBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,172 of 1,219 launchesWithout the breakout1,218 of 1,219 launchesLast 18 months387 of 1,219 launches
Launches counted1,219193 hits1,172181 hits1,218192 hits38762 hits
Earned $100k+15.8 in 10015.4 in 10015.8 in 10016.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,882top tenth $223,977+$1,914$1,882$2,011
Chance against standardthe base-2.5%0.4 fewer in 100-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100+1.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.7%$32 more0.0%no change+6.9%$129 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,219 launches.

Launches counted
1,219193 hits
Earned $100k+
15.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,882top tenth $223,977+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,172181 hits
Earned $100k+
15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,914
Chance against standard
-2.5%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.7%$32 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.8% of the money): 1,218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,218192 hits
Earned $100k+
15.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,882
Chance against standard
-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 387 of 1,219.

Launches counted
38762 hits
Earned $100k+
16.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,011
Chance against standard
+1.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+6.9%$129 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,219 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.8% of the money): 1,218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 387 of 1,219.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when First-Person + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.