Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Fantasy + Colorful: a typical launch earns $605 in its first year
That is the median of 93 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 193 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 25% on the year before: 147 against 118.
- Price
- $605 median of 93 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +57.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 147 118 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 359 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,065 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.08% | 21 ranked of 359 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,361 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.60xhits against expected | 0.41x to 0.94x | 193 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,238 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 193
- Hit rate
- 3.6%1.4% to 6.9%
- Expected rate
- 7.0%
- Against expected
- 0.60x0.41x to 0.94x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
193 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $364
- Top tenth
- $13,662
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +25%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Cloudheim (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,825 reviews, 81% positiveest. $1.1M
- Bandle Tale: A League of Legends Story (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,244 reviews, 77% positiveest. $630k
- Tower Wizard (opens the Steam store)2025 · 8,811 reviews, 96% positiveest. $533k
- DRACU-RIOT! (opens the Steam store)2026 · 734 reviews, 98% positiveest. $520k
- Spirittea (opens the Steam store)2023 · 679 reviews, 84% positiveest. $275k
- DATE A LIVE: Ren Dystopia (opens the Steam store)2024 · 283 reviews, 95% positiveest. $229k
- Puzzle Quest: Immortal Edition (opens the Steam store)2025 · 525 reviews, 77% positiveest. $159k
- The Holy Gosh Darn (opens the Steam store)2024 · 278 reviews, 96% positiveest. $113k
More with Fantasy
pairs with Fantasy- Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Multiple Endings$3,03445 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Female Protagonist$2,18571 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Character Customization$2,14452 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Dungeon Crawler$1,86172 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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