Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Family Friendly + Puzzle
Family Friendly + Puzzle
Games tagged both Family Friendly and Puzzle: 473 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Family Friendly + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Family Friendly and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Family Friendly and trails Puzzle.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Family Friendly + Puzzle is about level with Family Friendly and trails Puzzle: 9.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.4 in 100 for Family Friendly and 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is 1 in 10, about 0.5 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 73 games tagged both Family Friendly and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 9.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 10.8 in 100 for Family Friendly-only games and 14.9 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is about level with Family Friendly alone and trails Puzzle alone.
Both: 73 games priced $10 to $20; 9.6 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 10), odds by size $1k+ 66 in 100 · $10k+ 30 in 100 · $100k+ 10 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 73 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Family Friendly + Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view470 of 473 launches | Without the breakout472 of 473 launches | Last 18 months133 of 473 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 47310 hits | 47010 hits | 4729 hits | 1334 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.1 in 1001 in 47 | 2.1 in 1001 in 47 | 1.9 in 1001 in 52 | 4 of 133too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $315top tenth $5,404+ | $314 | $315 | $358 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.6%no change | -9.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | +42.3%0.9 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.3%$1 less | 0.0%no change | +13.7%$43 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Family Friendly and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 473 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 473 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Is This Seat Taken? (31.3% of the money): 472 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 133 of 473.
Family Friendly holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Family Friendly | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,306 of 1,315 launches | Without the breakout1,314 of 1,315 launches | Last 18 months363 of 1,315 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,31552 hits | 1,30651 hits | 1,31451 hits | 36314 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $365top tenth $20,496+ | $362 | $365 | $354 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.2%no change | -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.5%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.8%$3 less | 0.0%no change | -3.0%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Family Friendly, 12 to 36 months old: 1,315 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 1,315 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Little Kitty, Big City (14.1% of the money): 1,314 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 363 of 1,315.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches | Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches | Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,256185 hits | 5,055174 hits | 5,255184 hits | 1,49359 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $421top tenth $14,242+ | $428 | $421 | $428 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +12.3%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$7 more | 0.0%no change | +1.7%$7 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Family Friendly + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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