Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Exploration + Story Rich
Exploration + Story Rich
Games tagged both Exploration and Story Rich: 642 indie paid launches, 74 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Exploration + Story Rich priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Exploration + Story Rich beats both its tags: 22.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Exploration and 19.9 in 100 for Story Rich.
That is about 1.2 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 173 games tagged both Exploration and Story Rich priced $10 to $20. 22.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.8 for Exploration-only games and 19.2 for Story Rich-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 173 games priced $10 to $20; 22.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $17,811.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 173 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Exploration + Story Rich holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view610 of 642 launches | Without the breakout641 of 642 launches | Last 18 months336 of 642 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 64274 hits | 61070 hits | 64173 hits | 33632 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.5 in 100 | 11.5 in 100 | 11.4 in 100 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,747top tenth $122,054+ | $2,751 | $2,740 | $2,630 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.4%2.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$4 more | -0.3%$7 less | -4.3%$117 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Story Rich, 6 to 30 months old: 642 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 642 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (16.1% of the money): 641 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 642.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
Story Rich holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Story Rich | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,571 of 2,810 launches | Without the breakout2,809 of 2,810 launches | Last 18 months1,542 of 2,810 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,810301 hits | 2,571267 hits | 2,809300 hits | 1,542154 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.7 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 10.7 in 100 | 10.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,062top tenth $111,964+ | $2,062 | $2,062 | $1,998 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -3.1%$64 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Story Rich, 6 to 30 months old: 2,810 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 239 of 2,810 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (18.4% of the money): 2,809 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,542 of 2,810.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Exploration + Story Rich moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.