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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Exploration + Sports

Niche

Exploration + Sports

Games tagged both Exploration and Sports: 45 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Exploration + Sports priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Exploration and is too small to compare with Sports.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Exploration + Sports is too small to compare with Exploration and is too small to compare with Sports: 3 of its 10 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.8 in 100 for Exploration and 9.9 in 100 for Sports.

Small sample: 10 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tagExploration
20.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.8 in 100
Typical earnings$12,514
Launches878 / 183 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairExploration + Sports
3 of 10launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 10 launches
$1k+8 of 10 launches
$10k+5 of 10 launches
Launches10 / 3 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIETied
Tag twoSports
9.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 10
Typical earnings$5,860
Launches152 / 15 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Exploration is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 10 games tagged both Exploration and Sports priced $10 to $20. 3 of 10 of them earned $100k+, against 20.7 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 8.5 in 100 for Sports-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Exploration alone and is too small to compare with Sports alone.

Both: 10 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 10 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 8 of 10 launches · $10k+ 5 of 10 launches · $100k+ 3 of 10 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 10 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

CarX Streetleads this pair33.4%
PairCarX Street33.4%
ExplorationHollow Knight: Silksong22.3%
SportsREMATCH34.5%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Exploration + Sports

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • CarX Street earned 33.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 45 Exploration + Sports launches.
  • Exploration is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 22.3% of its money.
  • Sports is led by REMATCH, with 34.5% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Exploration + Sports holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration + Sports through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view44 of 45 launchesWithout the breakout44 of 45 launchesLast 18 months11 of 45 launches
Launches counted4511 hits4411 hits4410 hits114 hits
Earned $100k+24.4 in 10025.0 in 10022.7 in 1004 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+2.3%0.6 more in 100-7.0%1.7 fewer in 100+48.8%11.9 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 45 launches.

Launches counted
4511 hits
Earned $100k+
24.4 in 100
Chance of $10k+
33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 45 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4411 hits
Earned $100k+
25.0 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+2.3%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, CarX Street (33.4% of the money): 44 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4410 hits
Earned $100k+
22.7 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-7.0%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 45.

Launches counted
114 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+48.8%11.9 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 45 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 45 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, CarX Street (33.4% of the money): 44 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 45.

Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration through every lens, all prices
ExplorationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,381 of 4,582 launchesWithout the breakout4,581 of 4,582 launchesLast 18 months1,268 of 4,582 launches
Launches counted4,582382 hits4,381366 hits4,581381 hits1,268105 hits
Earned $100k+8.3 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$877top tenth $65,025+$901$877$884
Chance against standardthe base+0.2%no change-0.2%no change-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.7%$24 more0.0%no change+0.8%$7 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,582 launches.

Launches counted
4,582382 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$877top tenth $65,025+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,381366 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$901
Chance against standard
+0.2%no change
Typical against standard
+2.7%$24 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (22.3% of the money): 4,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,581381 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$877
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,582.

Launches counted
1,268105 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$884
Chance against standard
-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+0.8%$7 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,582 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (22.3% of the money): 4,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,582.

Sports is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Sports through every lens, all prices
SportsBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view840 of 853 launchesWithout the breakout852 of 853 launchesLast 18 months284 of 853 launches
Launches counted85350 hits84050 hits85249 hits28424 hits
Earned $100k+5.9 in 1001 in 176.0 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 178.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$797top tenth $36,949+$843$797$948
Chance against standardthe base+1.5%0.1 more in 100-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100+44.2%2.6 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+5.8%$46 more0.0%no change+18.9%$151 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 853 launches.

Launches counted
85350 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$797top tenth $36,949+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 853 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
84050 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$843
Chance against standard
+1.5%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+5.8%$46 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (34.5% of the money): 852 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
85249 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$797
Chance against standard
-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 853.

Launches counted
28424 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$948
Chance against standard
+44.2%2.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+18.9%$151 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 853 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 853 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (34.5% of the money): 852 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 853.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Exploration + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.