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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Exploration + PvP

Niche

Exploration + PvP

Games tagged both Exploration and PvP: 50 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Exploration + PvP priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Exploration and is too small to compare with PvP.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Exploration + PvP is too small to compare with Exploration and is too small to compare with PvP: 2 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.3 in 100 for Exploration and 16.4 in 100 for PvP.

Small sample: 11 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tagExploration
17.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.3 in 100
Typical earnings$9,369
Launches878 / 152 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairExploration + PvP
2 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds2 of 11 launches
Typical earnings$23,974
Launches11 / 2 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twomood tagPvP
16.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.4 in 100
Typical earnings$5,621
Launches177 / 29 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Exploration is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Exploration and PvP priced $10 to $20. 2 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 17.3 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 16.3 in 100 for PvP-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Exploration alone and is too small to compare with PvP alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 11 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $23,974.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

CarX Streetleads this pair61.7%
PairCarX Street61.7%
ExplorationHollow Knight: Silksong21.4%
PvPREMATCH26.6%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Exploration + PvP

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • CarX Street earned 61.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 50 Exploration + PvP launches.
  • Exploration is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 21.4% of its money.
  • PvP is led by REMATCH, with 26.6% of its money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Exploration + PvP is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Exploration + PvP through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view49 of 50 launchesWithout the breakout49 of 50 launchesLast 18 months10 of 50 launches
Launches counted507 hits497 hits496 hits102 hits
Earned $100k+14.0 in 10014.3 in 10012.2 in 1002 of 10too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$2,043top tenth $312,559+$2,043$2,026$18,181
Chance against standardthe base+2.0%0.3 more in 100-12.5%1.8 fewer in 100+42.9%6.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change; too few to tell-0.8%$17 less+789.9%$16,138 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 50 launches.

Launches counted
507 hits
Earned $100k+
14.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,043top tenth $312,559+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 50 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
497 hits
Earned $100k+
14.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,043
Chance against standard
+2.0%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change; too few to tell
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, CarX Street (61.7% of the money): 49 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
496 hits
Earned $100k+
12.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,026
Chance against standard
-12.5%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.8%$17 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 50.

Launches counted
102 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 10too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$18,181
Chance against standard
+42.9%6.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+789.9%$16,138 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 50 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 50 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, CarX Street (61.7% of the money): 49 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 50.

Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration through every lens, all prices
ExplorationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,379 of 4,579 launchesWithout the breakout4,578 of 4,579 launchesLast 18 months1,268 of 4,579 launches
Launches counted4,579337 hits4,379321 hits4,578336 hits1,26896 hits
Earned $100k+7.4 in 1001 in 147.3 in 1001 in 147.3 in 1001 in 147.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$861top tenth $53,530+$862$861$861
Chance against standardthe base-0.4%no change-0.3%no change+2.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.1%$1 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,579 launches.

Launches counted
4,579337 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$861top tenth $53,530+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 4,579 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,379321 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$862
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
+0.1%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (21.4% of the money): 4,578 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,578336 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$861
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,579.

Launches counted
1,26896 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$861
Chance against standard
+2.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,579 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 4,579 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (21.4% of the money): 4,578 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,579.

PvP holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

PvP through every lens, all prices
PvPBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,019 of 1,044 launchesWithout the breakout1,043 of 1,044 launchesLast 18 months291 of 1,044 launches
Launches counted1,04471 hits1,01969 hits1,04370 hits29122 hits
Earned $100k+6.8 in 1001 in 156.8 in 1001 in 156.7 in 1001 in 157.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$470top tenth $28,978+$470$460$575
Chance against standardthe base-0.4%no change-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100+11.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change-2.1%$10 less+22.3%$105 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,044 launches.

Launches counted
1,04471 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$470top tenth $28,978+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,044 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,01969 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$470
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (26.6% of the money): 1,043 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,04370 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$460
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.1%$10 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 291 of 1,044.

Launches counted
29122 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$575
Chance against standard
+11.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+22.3%$105 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,044 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,044 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (26.6% of the money): 1,043 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 291 of 1,044.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Exploration + PvP moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.