Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Difficult + Roguelike
Difficult + Roguelike
Games tagged both Difficult and Roguelike: 140 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Difficult + Roguelike priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Difficult + Roguelike trails both its tags: 20.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.5 in 100 for Difficult and 23.5 in 100 for Roguelike.
That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 58 games tagged both Difficult and Roguelike priced $10 to $20. 20.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.2 for Difficult-only games and 23.9 for Roguelike-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 58 games priced $10 to $20; 20.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $18,150.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 58 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Difficult + Roguelike is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view139 of 140 launches | Without the breakout139 of 140 launches | Last 18 months75 of 140 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 14017 hits | 13917 hits | 13916 hits | 7511 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.1 in 100 | 12.2 in 100 | 11.5 in 100 | 14.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,680top tenth $210,966+ | $3,680 | $3,643 | $4,653 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +0.8%0.1 more in 100 | -5.0%0.6 fewer in 100 | +21.5%2.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.0%$37 less | +26.4%$973 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Difficult and Roguelike, 6 to 30 months old: 140 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 140 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, 9 Kings (33.1% of the money): 139 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 75 of 140.
Difficult holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Difficult | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,038 of 1,051 launches | Without the breakout1,050 of 1,051 launches | Last 18 months541 of 1,051 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,05171 hits | 1,03870 hits | 1,05070 hits | 54132 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,133top tenth $56,182+ | $1,150 | $1,133 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.2%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +1.5%$17 more | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$162 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Difficult, 6 to 30 months old: 1,051 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 1,051 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (57.2% of the money): 1,050 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 541 of 1,051.
Roguelike holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Roguelike | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,355 of 2,511 launches | Without the breakout2,510 of 2,511 launches | Last 18 months1,504 of 2,511 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,511179 hits | 2,355166 hits | 2,510178 hits | 1,50495 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $969top tenth $60,027+ | $1,010 | $969 | $809 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -11.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.2%$41 more | 0.0%no change | -16.5%$160 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 6 to 30 months old: 2,511 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 156 of 2,511 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (22.3% of the money): 2,510 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,504 of 2,511.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Difficult + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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