Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Deckbuilding + Turn-Based Strategy
Deckbuilding + Turn-Based Strategy
Games tagged both Deckbuilding and Turn-Based Strategy: 140 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Deckbuilding + Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Deckbuilding and is about level with Turn-Based Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it trails Deckbuilding and is about level with Turn-Based Strategy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Deckbuilding + Turn-Based Strategy trails Deckbuilding and is about level with Turn-Based Strategy: 16.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 25.6 in 100 for Deckbuilding and 15.6 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy.
That is about 0.9 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Deckbuilding and Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. 16.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 28.6 in 100 for Deckbuilding-only games and 15.5 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy-only games, so the mix trails Deckbuilding alone and is about level with Turn-Based Strategy alone.
Both: 42 games priced $10 to $20; 16.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $16,524.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Deckbuilding + Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view128 of 140 launches | Without the breakout139 of 140 launches | Last 18 months54 of 140 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 14012 hits | 12812 hits | 13911 hits | 547 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 9.4 in 1001 in 11 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 13.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,963top tenth $93,293+ | $3,529 | $2,869 | $3,522 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +9.4%0.8 more in 100 | -7.7%0.7 fewer in 100 | +51.2%4.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +19.1%$566 more | -3.2%$94 less | +18.9%$559 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Deckbuilding and Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 140 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 140 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Monster Train 2 (40.5% of the money): 139 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 54 of 140.
Deckbuilding holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view535 of 577 launches | Without the breakout576 of 577 launches | Last 18 months200 of 577 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57761 hits | 53556 hits | 57660 hits | 20018 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.6 in 100 | 10.5 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,193top tenth $101,479+ | $2,411 | $2,193 | $1,804 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -14.9%1.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +9.9%$218 more | 0.0%no change | -17.7%$389 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 12 to 36 months old: 577 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 577 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (38.5% of the money): 576 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 200 of 577.
Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Turn-Based Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view943 of 1,084 launches | Without the breakout1,083 of 1,084 launches | Last 18 months353 of 1,084 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,08474 hits | 94366 hits | 1,08373 hits | 35324 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $847top tenth $51,956+ | $945 | $847 | $842 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.5%0.2 more in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change |
| Typical against standard | the base | +11.6%$98 more | 0.0%no change | -0.6%$5 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,084 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 141 of 1,084 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (8.8% of the money): 1,083 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 353 of 1,084.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Deckbuilding + Turn-Based Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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