Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Deckbuilding + Roguelite
Deckbuilding + Roguelite
Games tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelite: 332 indie paid launches, 28 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Deckbuilding + Roguelite priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Deckbuilding and beats Roguelite; priced $10 to $20 it is level with Deckbuilding and trails Roguelite.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Deckbuilding + Roguelite is level with Deckbuilding and trails Roguelite: 23.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.0 in 100 for Deckbuilding and 24.1 in 100 for Roguelite.
That is about 1.2 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 100 games tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelite priced $10 to $20. 23.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.0 for Deckbuilding-only games and 24.4 for Roguelite-only games, so the mix is level with Deckbuilding alone and trails Roguelite alone.
Both: 100 games priced $10 to $20; 23.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $25,779.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 100 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Deckbuilding + Roguelite holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view316 of 332 launches | Without the breakout331 of 332 launches | Last 18 months208 of 332 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 33228 hits | 31628 hits | 33127 hits | 20815 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,641top tenth $77,101+ | $4,246 | $3,638 | $3,237 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.0%0.5 more in 100 | -2.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | -14.3%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +16.6%$605 more | -0.1%$3 less | -11.1%$404 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelite, 6 to 30 months old: 332 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 332 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, 9 Kings (29.7% of the money): 331 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 208 of 332.
Deckbuilding holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view696 of 736 launches | Without the breakout735 of 736 launches | Last 18 months450 of 736 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 73668 hits | 69662 hits | 73567 hits | 45037 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,343top tenth $90,427+ | $2,526 | $2,305 | $2,104 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -10.9%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.8%$183 more | -1.6%$38 less | -10.2%$239 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (57.3% of the money): 735 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 450 of 736.
Roguelite holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Roguelite | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,237 of 2,395 launches | Without the breakout2,394 of 2,395 launches | Last 18 months1,402 of 2,395 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,395182 hits | 2,237171 hits | 2,394181 hits | 1,40299 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,131top tenth $64,967+ | $1,213 | $1,131 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.6%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.3%$82 more | 0.0%no change | -19.6%$222 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 6 to 30 months old: 2,395 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 158 of 2,395 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (20.9% of the money): 2,394 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,402 of 2,395.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Deckbuilding + Roguelite moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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