Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Deckbuilding + Roguelike
Deckbuilding + Roguelike
Games tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelike: 438 indie paid launches, 45 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Deckbuilding + Roguelike priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Deckbuilding + Roguelike beats both its tags: 25.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.0 in 100 for Deckbuilding and 23.5 in 100 for Roguelike.
That is about 1.4 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 135 games tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelike priced $10 to $20. 25.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.2 for Deckbuilding-only games and 22.9 for Roguelike-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 135 games priced $10 to $20; 25.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $24,693.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 135 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Deckbuilding + Roguelike holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view418 of 438 launches | Without the breakout437 of 438 launches | Last 18 months283 of 438 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 43845 hits | 41842 hits | 43744 hits | 28324 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.3 in 100 | 10.0 in 100 | 10.1 in 100 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,236top tenth $105,234+ | $3,397 | $3,236 | $2,831 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.9%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -17.5%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +5.0%$161 more | 0.0%no change | -12.5%$405 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelike, 6 to 30 months old: 438 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 438 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (64.7% of the money): 437 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 283 of 438.
Deckbuilding holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view696 of 736 launches | Without the breakout735 of 736 launches | Last 18 months450 of 736 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 73668 hits | 69662 hits | 73567 hits | 45037 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,343top tenth $90,427+ | $2,526 | $2,305 | $2,104 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -10.9%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.8%$183 more | -1.6%$38 less | -10.2%$239 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (57.3% of the money): 735 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 450 of 736.
Roguelike holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Roguelike | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,355 of 2,511 launches | Without the breakout2,510 of 2,511 launches | Last 18 months1,504 of 2,511 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,511179 hits | 2,355166 hits | 2,510178 hits | 1,50495 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $969top tenth $60,027+ | $1,010 | $969 | $809 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -11.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.2%$41 more | 0.0%no change | -16.5%$160 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 6 to 30 months old: 2,511 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 156 of 2,511 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (22.3% of the money): 2,510 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,504 of 2,511.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Deckbuilding + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.