Niches / Dating Sim + Female Protagonist

Niche

Dating Sim + Female Protagonist

Games tagged both Dating Sim and Female Protagonist: 105 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Dating Sim + Female Protagonist priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dating Sim and is about level with Female Protagonist; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Dating Sim and is too small to compare with Female Protagonist.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Dating Sim + Female Protagonist is too small to compare with Dating Sim and is too small to compare with Female Protagonist: 2 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.4 in 100 for Dating Sim and 19.9 in 100 for Female Protagonist.

Small sample: 27 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneDating Sim

19.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.4 in 100

Typical earnings$8,738

Launches186 / 36 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairDating Sim + Female Protagonist

2 of 27launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 27 launches

$1k+26 of 27 launches

$10k+11 of 27 launches

Launches27 / 2 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagFemale Protagonist

19.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.9 in 100

Typical earnings$12,618

Launches342 / 68 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Female Protagonist is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices105 in pair Under $530 in pair $5 to $1036 in pair $10 to $2027 in pair $20 to $4012 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Dating Sim and Female Protagonist priced $10 to $20. 2 of 27 of them earned $100k+, against 21.4 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games and 21.0 in 100 for Female Protagonist-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dating Sim alone and is too small to compare with Female Protagonist alone.

Both: 27 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 27 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 26 of 27 launches · $10k+ 11 of 27 launches · $100k+ 2 of 27 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Sweet Homeleads this pair22.8%

PairSweet Home22.8%

Dating SimLegend of Mortal22.0%

Female ProtagonistHollow Knight: Silksong48.3%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dating Sim + Female Protagonist

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Sweet Home earned 22.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 105 Dating Sim + Female Protagonist launches.
Dating Sim is led by Legend of Mortal, with 22.0% of its money.
Female Protagonist is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 48.3% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dating Sim + Female Protagonist holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dating Sim + Female Protagonist through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view76 of 105 launches	Without the breakout104 of 105 launches	Last 18 months27 of 105 launches
Launches counted	1059 hits	763 hits	1048 hits	273 hits
Earned $100k+	8.6 in 1001 in 12	3 of 76too few for a rate	7.7 in 1001 in 13	3 of 27too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$3,933top tenth $85,602+	under 100 launches	$3,933	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-53.9%4.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell	-10.3%0.9 fewer in 100	+29.6%2.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and Female Protagonist, 12 to 36 months old: 105 launches.

Launches counted: 1059 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $3,933top tenth $85,602+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 105 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 763 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 76too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -53.9%4.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Sweet Home (22.8% of the money): 104 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1048 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $3,933
Chance against standard: -10.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 27 of 105.

Launches counted: 273 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 27too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +29.6%2.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and Female Protagonist, 12 to 36 months old: 105 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 105 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Sweet Home (22.8% of the money): 104 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 27 of 105.

Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
Dating Sim	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view496 of 629 launches	Without the breakout628 of 629 launches	Last 18 months166 of 629 launches
Launches counted	62963 hits	49642 hits	62862 hits	16618 hits
Earned $100k+	10.0 in 100	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.9 in 1001 in 10	10.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,442top tenth $101,644+	$2,276	$2,442	$2,359
Chance against standard	the base	-15.5%1.5 fewer in 100	-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+8.3%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-6.8%$166 less	0.0%no change	-3.4%$83 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 629 launches.

Launches counted: 62963 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,442top tenth $101,644+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 133 of 629 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 49642 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,276
Chance against standard: -15.5%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.8%$166 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (22.0% of the money): 628 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 62862 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.9 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,442
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 166 of 629.

Launches counted: 16618 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: +8.3%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: -3.4%$83 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 629 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 133 of 629 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (22.0% of the money): 628 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 166 of 629.

Female Protagonist is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Female Protagonist through every lens, all prices
Female Protagonist	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,264 of 1,406 launches	Without the breakout1,405 of 1,406 launches	Last 18 months399 of 1,406 launches
Launches counted	1,406134 hits	1,264111 hits	1,405133 hits	39943 hits
Earned $100k+	9.5 in 1001 in 10	8.8 in 1001 in 11	9.5 in 1001 in 11	10.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,590top tenth $95,667+	$1,535	$1,575	$1,992
Chance against standard	the base	-7.9%0.7 fewer in 100	-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100	+13.1%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-3.5%$55 less	-0.9%$15 less	+25.3%$402 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Female Protagonist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,406 launches.

Launches counted: 1,406134 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.5 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $1,590top tenth $95,667+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,406 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,264111 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,535
Chance against standard: -7.9%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.5%$55 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (48.3% of the money): 1,405 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,405133 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.5 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,575
Chance against standard: -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.9%$15 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 399 of 1,406.

Launches counted: 39943 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,992
Chance against standard: +13.1%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +25.3%$402 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Female Protagonist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,406 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,406 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (48.3% of the money): 1,405 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 399 of 1,406.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dating Sim + Female Protagonist moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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