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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Dark Fantasy + RPG

Niche

Dark Fantasy + RPG

Games tagged both Dark Fantasy and RPG: 198 indie paid launches, 21 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Dark Fantasy + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dark Fantasy and beats RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Dark Fantasy and is about level with RPG.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Dark Fantasy + RPG is about level with Dark Fantasy and is about level with RPG: 17.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.8 in 100 for Dark Fantasy and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.

That is about 1.0 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie
Tag oneDark Fantasy
16.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.8 in 100
Typical earnings$11,334
Launches143 / 24 hits
A tie, apart by0.6 in 100
TIEA tie
This pairDark Fantasy + RPG
17.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.4 in 100
Typical earnings$7,382
Launches46 / 8 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoRPG
17.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.6 in 100
Typical earnings$8,454
Launches786 / 138 hits
A tie, apart by0.2 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices198 in pairUnder $572 in pair$5 to $1059 in pair$10 to $2046 in pair$20 to $4021 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 46 games tagged both Dark Fantasy and RPG priced $10 to $20. 17.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.5 in 100 for Dark Fantasy-only games and 17.6 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is about level with Dark Fantasy alone and is about level with RPG alone.

Both: 46 games priced $10 to $20; 17.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $7,382.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 46 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Path of Exile 2leads this pair70.3%
PairPath of Exile 270.3%
Dark FantasyPath of Exile 258.4%
RPGPath of Exile 218.0%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dark Fantasy + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Path of Exile 2 earned 70.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 198 Dark Fantasy + RPG launches.
  • It also leads Dark Fantasy, with 58.4% of that tag's money.
  • It also leads RPG, with 18.0% of that tag's money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dark Fantasy + RPG is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Dark Fantasy + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view186 of 198 launchesWithout the breakout197 of 198 launchesLast 18 months54 of 198 launches
Launches counted19821 hits18619 hits19720 hits544 hits
Earned $100k+10.6 in 10010.2 in 10010.2 in 1004 of 54too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$1,149top tenth $122,461+$1,177$1,149$956
Chance against standardthe base-3.7%0.4 fewer in 100-4.3%0.5 fewer in 100-30.2%3.2 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+2.4%$28 more0.0%no change-16.8%$193 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark Fantasy and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 198 launches.

Launches counted
19821 hits
Earned $100k+
10.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,149top tenth $122,461+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 198 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
18619 hits
Earned $100k+
10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,177
Chance against standard
-3.7%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.4%$28 more
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (70.3% of the money): 197 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
19720 hits
Earned $100k+
10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,149
Chance against standard
-4.3%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 54 of 198.

Launches counted
544 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 54too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$956
Chance against standard
-30.2%3.2 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
-16.8%$193 less; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark Fantasy and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 198 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 198 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (70.3% of the money): 197 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 54 of 198.

Dark Fantasy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Dark Fantasy through every lens, all prices
Dark FantasyBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view556 of 574 launchesWithout the breakout573 of 574 launchesLast 18 months153 of 574 launches
Launches counted57453 hits55650 hits57352 hits15315 hits
Earned $100k+9.2 in 1001 in 119.0 in 1001 in 119.1 in 1001 in 119.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings$1,149top tenth $91,027+$1,180$1,149$957
Chance against standardthe base-2.6%0.2 fewer in 100-1.7%0.2 fewer in 100+6.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.7%$31 more0.0%no change-16.7%$192 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 574 launches.

Launches counted
57453 hits
Earned $100k+
9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,149top tenth $91,027+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 574 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
55650 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,180
Chance against standard
-2.6%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.7%$31 more
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (58.4% of the money): 573 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
57352 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,149
Chance against standard
-1.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 574.

Launches counted
15315 hits
Earned $100k+
9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$957
Chance against standard
+6.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
-16.7%$192 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 574 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 574 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (58.4% of the money): 573 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 574.

RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launchesWithout the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launchesLast 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches
Launches counted3,715270 hits3,125225 hits3,714269 hits1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 148.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$675top tenth $51,629+$729$675$859
Chance against standardthe base-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.3%no change+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.0%$54 more0.0%no change+27.3%$184 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.

Launches counted
3,715270 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675top tenth $51,629+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,125225 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$729
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+8.0%$54 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,714269 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

Launches counted
1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$859
Chance against standard
+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+27.3%$184 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dark Fantasy + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.