Niche

Dark Fantasy + Medieval

Games tagged both Dark Fantasy and Medieval: 60 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Dark Fantasy + Medieval priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dark Fantasy and is about level with Medieval; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Dark Fantasy and is too small to compare with Medieval.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Dark Fantasy + Medieval is too small to compare with Dark Fantasy and is too small to compare with Medieval: 2 of its 12 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.8 in 100 for Dark Fantasy and 26.2 in 100 for Medieval.

Small sample: 12 launches, 2 hits.

TIETied

Tag oneDark Fantasy

22.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.8 in 100

Typical earnings$15,615

Launches145 / 33 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairDark Fantasy + Medieval

2 of 12launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 12 launches

$1k+11 of 12 launches

$10k+5 of 12 launches

Launches12 / 2 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoMedieval

26.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds26.2 in 100

Typical earnings$19,088

Launches107 / 28 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices60 in pair Under $527 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair $10 to $2012 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both Dark Fantasy and Medieval priced $10 to $20. 2 of 12 of them earned $100k+, against 23.3 in 100 for Dark Fantasy-only games and 27.4 in 100 for Medieval-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dark Fantasy alone and is too small to compare with Medieval alone.

Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 12 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 11 of 12 launches · $10k+ 5 of 12 launches · $100k+ 2 of 12 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Mage Arenaleads this pair35.4%

PairMage Arena35.4%

Dark FantasyPath of Exile 258.6%

MedievalBellwright17.3%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dark Fantasy + Medieval

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Mage Arena earned 35.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 60 Dark Fantasy + Medieval launches.
Dark Fantasy is led by Path of Exile 2, with 58.6% of its money.
Medieval is led by Bellwright, with 17.3% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dark Fantasy + Medieval holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dark Fantasy + Medieval through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view57 of 60 launches	Without the breakout59 of 60 launches	Last 18 months15 of 60 launches
Launches counted	605 hits	575 hits	594 hits	152 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.8 in 1001 in 11	4 of 59too few for a rate	2 of 15too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	15 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 48 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+5.3%0.4 more in 100	-18.6%1.6 fewer in 100	+60.0%5.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark Fantasy and Medieval, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.

Launches counted: 605 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Chance of $10k+: 15 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 48 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 575 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +5.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mage Arena (35.4% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 594 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 59too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -18.6%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 60.

Launches counted: 152 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 15too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +60.0%5.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark Fantasy and Medieval, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Mage Arena (35.4% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 60.

Dark Fantasy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Dark Fantasy through every lens, all prices
Dark Fantasy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view559 of 577 launches	Without the breakout576 of 577 launches	Last 18 months155 of 577 launches
Launches counted	57764 hits	55961 hits	57663 hits	15517 hits
Earned $100k+	11.1 in 100	10.9 in 100	10.9 in 100	11.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,138top tenth $121,369+	$1,264	$1,138	$1,053
Chance against standard	the base	-1.6%0.2 fewer in 100	-1.4%0.2 fewer in 100	-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+11.1%$126 more	0.0%no change	-7.5%$85 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 577 launches.

Launches counted: 57764 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,138top tenth $121,369+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 577 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 55961 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,264
Chance against standard: -1.6%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +11.1%$126 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (58.6% of the money): 576 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 57663 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,138
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 155 of 577.

Launches counted: 15517 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,053
Chance against standard: -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -7.5%$85 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dark Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 577 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 577 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (58.6% of the money): 576 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 155 of 577.

Medieval is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Medieval through every lens, all prices
Medieval	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view567 of 609 launches	Without the breakout608 of 609 launches	Last 18 months175 of 609 launches
Launches counted	60950 hits	56749 hits	60849 hits	17521 hits
Earned $100k+	8.2 in 1001 in 12	8.6 in 1001 in 12	8.1 in 1001 in 12	12.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$506top tenth $73,548+	$526	$506	$632
Chance against standard	the base	+5.3%0.4 more in 100	-1.8%0.2 fewer in 100	+46.2%3.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$20 more	0.0%no change	+24.9%$126 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Medieval, 12 to 36 months old: 609 launches.

Launches counted: 60950 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.2 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $506top tenth $73,548+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 609 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 56749 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $526
Chance against standard: +5.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +4.0%$20 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Bellwright (17.3% of the money): 608 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 60849 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $506
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 175 of 609.

Launches counted: 17521 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $632
Chance against standard: +46.2%3.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +24.9%$126 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Medieval, 12 to 36 months old: 609 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 609 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Bellwright (17.3% of the money): 608 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 175 of 609.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dark Fantasy + Medieval moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.