Niche

Dark Fantasy + Fantasy

Games tagged both Dark Fantasy and Fantasy: 113 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Dark Fantasy + Fantasy priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Dark Fantasy + Fantasy is too small to compare with Dark Fantasy and is too small to compare with Fantasy: 1 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.8 in 100 for Dark Fantasy and 10.7 in 100 for Fantasy.

Small sample: 25 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneDark Fantasy

16.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.8 in 100

Typical earnings$11,334

Launches143 / 24 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairDark Fantasy + Fantasy

1 of 25launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 25 launches

Typical earnings$3,670

Launches25 / 1 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIETied

Tag twomood tagFantasy

10.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds10.7 in 100

Typical earnings$3,505

Launches402 / 43 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Fantasy is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices113 in pair Under $536 in pair $5 to $1041 in pair $10 to $2025 in pair $20 to $4011 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Dark Fantasy and Fantasy priced $10 to $20. 1 of 25 of them earned $100k+, against 19.5 in 100 for Dark Fantasy-only games and 11.1 in 100 for Fantasy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dark Fantasy alone and is too small to compare with Fantasy alone.

Both: 25 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 25 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,670.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The King is Watchingleads this pair38.1%

PairThe King is Watching38.1%

Dark FantasyPath of Exile 258.4%

FantasyGranblue Fantasy: Relink23.2%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dark Fantasy + Fantasy

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

The King is Watching earned 38.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 113 Dark Fantasy + Fantasy launches.
Dark Fantasy is led by Path of Exile 2, with 58.4% of its money.
Fantasy is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 23.2% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dark Fantasy + Fantasy holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dark Fantasy + Fantasy through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view113 of 113 launches	Without the breakout112 of 113 launches	Last 18 months28 of 113 launches
Launches counted	1134 hits	1134 hits	1123 hits	281 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 113too few for a rate	4 of 113too few for a rate	3 of 112too few for a rate	1 of 28too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$674top tenth $22,136+	$674	$674	$918
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-24.3%0.9 fewer in 100	+0.9%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+36.2%$244 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark Fantasy and Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 113 launches.

Launches counted: 1134 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 113too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $674top tenth $22,136+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 113 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1134 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 113too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $674
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The King is Watching (38.1% of the money): 112 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1123 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 112too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $674
Chance against standard: -24.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 28 of 113.

Launches counted: 281 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 28too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $918
Chance against standard: +0.9%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +36.2%$244 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark Fantasy and Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 113 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 113 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The King is Watching (38.1% of the money): 112 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 28 of 113.

Dark Fantasy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Dark Fantasy through every lens, all prices
Dark Fantasy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view556 of 574 launches	Without the breakout573 of 574 launches	Last 18 months153 of 574 launches
Launches counted	57453 hits	55650 hits	57352 hits	15315 hits
Earned $100k+	9.2 in 1001 in 11	9.0 in 1001 in 11	9.1 in 1001 in 11	9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings	$1,149top tenth $91,027+	$1,180	$1,149	$957
Chance against standard	the base	-2.6%0.2 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.2 fewer in 100	+6.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.7%$31 more	0.0%no change	-16.7%$192 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 574 launches.

Launches counted: 57453 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,149top tenth $91,027+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 574 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 55650 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,180
Chance against standard: -2.6%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +2.7%$31 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (58.4% of the money): 573 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 57352 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,149
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 574.

Launches counted: 15315 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $957
Chance against standard: +6.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: -16.7%$192 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dark Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 574 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 574 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (58.4% of the money): 573 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 574.

Fantasy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Fantasy through every lens, all prices
Fantasy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,687 of 1,767 launches	Without the breakout1,766 of 1,767 launches	Last 18 months515 of 1,767 launches
Launches counted	1,76790 hits	1,68786 hits	1,76689 hits	51529 hits
Earned $100k+	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.0 in 1001 in 20	5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$563top tenth $26,247+	$568	$563	$574
Chance against standard	the base	+0.1%no change	-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100	+10.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.9%$5 more	0.0%no change	+2.0%$11 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,767 launches.

Launches counted: 1,76790 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $563top tenth $26,247+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,767 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,68786 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $568
Chance against standard: +0.1%no change
Typical against standard: +0.9%$5 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (23.2% of the money): 1,766 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,76689 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $563
Chance against standard: -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 515 of 1,767.

Launches counted: 51529 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: +10.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.0%$11 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,767 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,767 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (23.2% of the money): 1,766 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 515 of 1,767.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dark Fantasy + Fantasy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.