Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Dark + RPG
Games tagged both Dark and RPG: 84 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dark + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dark and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Dark and is too small to compare with RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dark + RPG is too small to compare with Dark and is too small to compare with RPG: 4 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.5 in 100 for Dark and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.
Small sample: 20 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Dark and RPG priced $10 to $20. 4 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 21.7 in 100 for Dark-only games and 17.5 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dark alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 20 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $18,216.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dark + RPG holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view79 of 84 launches | Without the breakout83 of 84 launches | Last 18 months23 of 84 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 846 hits | 796 hits | 835 hits | 231 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 1 of 23too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,297top tenth $64,027+ | $1,377 | $1,104 | $2,757 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +6.3%0.5 more in 100 | -15.7%1.1 fewer in 100 | -39.1%2.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.2%$80 more; too few to tell | -14.9%$193 less | +112.6%$1,460 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 84 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 84 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Grimshire (35.2% of the money): 83 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 84.
Dark holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Dark | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,200 of 1,223 launches | Without the breakout1,222 of 1,223 launches | Last 18 months340 of 1,223 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,22367 hits | 1,20065 hits | 1,22266 hits | 34019 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $843top tenth $31,969+ | $844 | $843 | $861 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +2.0%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.1%$1 more | 0.0%no change | +2.1%$18 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,223 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,223 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.2% of the money): 1,222 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 340 of 1,223.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launches | Without the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launches | Last 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,715270 hits | 3,125225 hits | 3,714269 hits | 1,01882 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $675top tenth $51,629+ | $729 | $675 | $859 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | +10.8%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.0%$54 more | 0.0%no change | +27.3%$184 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dark + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.