Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Dark + Puzzle
Games tagged both Dark and Puzzle: 298 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dark + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dark + Puzzle trails both its tags: 12.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.7 in 100 for Dark and 13.8 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 0.7 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Dark and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 12.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.6 for Dark-only games and 13.9 for Puzzle-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 12.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $7,789.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dark + Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view297 of 298 launches | Without the breakout297 of 298 launches | Last 18 months153 of 298 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 29817 hits | 29717 hits | 29716 hits | 1539 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $607top tenth $31,494+ | $607 | $607 | $729 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | +3.5%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +20.1%$122 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 298 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 298 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, ROUTINE (27.9% of the money): 297 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 298.
Dark holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Dark | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,414 of 1,445 launches | Without the breakout1,444 of 1,445 launches | Last 18 months785 of 1,445 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,44574 hits | 1,41472 hits | 1,44473 hits | 78534 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $849top tenth $28,119+ | $887 | $849 | $808 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -15.7%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.5%$38 more | 0.0%no change | -4.8%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 6 to 30 months old: 1,445 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,445 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (11.5% of the money): 1,444 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 785 of 1,445.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dark + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.