Niche

Cute + Surreal

Games tagged both Cute and Surreal: 55 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Cute + Surreal priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Cute and is too small to compare with Surreal.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Cute + Surreal is too small to compare with Cute and is too small to compare with Surreal: 1 of its 31 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.5 in 100 for Cute and 1.5 in 100 for Surreal.

Small sample: 31 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagCute

0.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 185

Typical earnings$250

Launches2,216 / 12 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCute + Surreal

1 of 31launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 31 launches

Typical earnings$623

Launches31 / 1 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagSurreal

1.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 66

Typical earnings$425

Launches329 / 5 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Cute is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices55 in pair Under $531 in pair $5 to $1015 in pair$10 to $207: too few$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 31 games tagged both Cute and Surreal priced under $5. 1 of 31 of them earned $100k+, against 0.5 in 100 for Cute-only games and 4 of 298 for Surreal-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cute alone and is too small to compare with Surreal alone.

Both: 31 games priced under $5; 1 of 31 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $623.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 31 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Psychopomp GOLDleads this pair26.8%

PairPsychopomp GOLD26.8%

CuteHello Kitty Island Adventure4.9%

SurrealINDIKA12.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Cute + Surreal

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Psychopomp GOLD earned 26.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 55 Cute + Surreal launches.
Cute is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 4.9% of its money.
Surreal is led by INDIKA, with 12.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Cute + Surreal holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Cute + Surreal through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view52 of 55 launches	Without the breakout54 of 55 launches	Last 18 months11 of 55 launches
Launches counted	555 hits	524 hits	544 hits	110 hits
Earned $100k+	9.1 in 1001 in 11	4 of 52too few for a rate	4 of 54too few for a rate	0 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$1,331top tenth $83,832+	$1,331	$1,331	$1,072
Chance against standard	the base	-15.4%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell	-18.5%1.7 fewer in 100	-100.0%9.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	-19.5%$259 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 55 launches.

Launches counted: 555 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,331top tenth $83,832+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 55 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 524 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 52too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,331
Chance against standard: -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Psychopomp GOLD (26.8% of the money): 54 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 544 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 54too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,331
Chance against standard: -18.5%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 55.

Launches counted: 110 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,072
Chance against standard: -100.0%9.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -19.5%$259 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 55 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 55 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Psychopomp GOLD (26.8% of the money): 54 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 55.

Cute is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Cute through every lens, all prices
Cute	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,654 of 3,828 launches	Without the breakout3,827 of 3,828 launches	Last 18 months1,117 of 3,828 launches
Launches counted	3,828195 hits	3,654176 hits	3,827194 hits	1,11768 hits
Earned $100k+	5.1 in 1001 in 20	4.8 in 1001 in 21	5.1 in 1001 in 20	6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings	$631top tenth $26,702+	$664	$630	$607
Chance against standard	the base	-5.4%0.3 fewer in 100	-0.5%no change	+19.5%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.2%$33 more	-0.2%$1 less	-3.8%$24 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,828 launches.

Launches counted: 3,828195 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $631top tenth $26,702+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 174 of 3,828 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,654176 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $664
Chance against standard: -5.4%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.2%$33 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (4.9% of the money): 3,827 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,827194 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $630
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: -0.2%$1 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,117 of 3,828.

Launches counted: 1,11768 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $607
Chance against standard: +19.5%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: -3.8%$24 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,828 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 174 of 3,828 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (4.9% of the money): 3,827 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,117 of 3,828.

Surreal holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Surreal through every lens, all prices
Surreal	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view552 of 578 launches	Without the breakout577 of 578 launches	Last 18 months156 of 578 launches
Launches counted	57831 hits	55229 hits	57730 hits	1566 hits
Earned $100k+	5.4 in 1001 in 19	5.3 in 1001 in 19	5.2 in 1001 in 19	3.8 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings	$1,019top tenth $36,298+	$1,012	$1,018	$1,243
Chance against standard	the base	-2.0%0.1 fewer in 100	-3.1%0.2 fewer in 100	-28.3%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-0.7%$7 less	-0.1%$1 less	+22.0%$224 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 578 launches.

Launches counted: 57831 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $1,019top tenth $36,298+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 578 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 55229 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $1,012
Chance against standard: -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.7%$7 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.6% of the money): 577 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 57730 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $1,018
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 156 of 578.

Launches counted: 1566 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.8 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $1,243
Chance against standard: -28.3%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +22.0%$224 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 578 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 578 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.6% of the money): 577 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 156 of 578.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Cute + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.