Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Cute + Simulation
Cute + Simulation
Games tagged both Cute and Simulation: 655 indie paid launches, 50 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cute + Simulation priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Cute and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it is level with Cute and trails Simulation.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cute + Simulation is level with Cute and trails Simulation: 16.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for Cute and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 136 games tagged both Cute and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 16.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.3 for Cute-only games and 22.3 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is level with Cute alone and trails Simulation alone.
Both: 136 games priced $10 to $20; 16.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $7,365.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 136 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cute + Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view635 of 655 launches | Without the breakout654 of 655 launches | Last 18 months384 of 655 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 65550 hits | 63548 hits | 65449 hits | 38424 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,010top tenth $59,921+ | $1,063 | $1,010 | $846 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.1%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +5.2%$53 more | 0.0%no change | -16.2%$164 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 655 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 655 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Fields of Mistria (19.8% of the money): 654 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 384 of 655.
Cute holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,089 of 4,279 launches | Without the breakout4,278 of 4,279 launches | Last 18 months2,326 of 4,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,279218 hits | 4,089200 hits | 4,278217 hits | 2,326111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $725top tenth $28,533+ | $727 | $725 | $642 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.9%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.3%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -11.4%$83 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 6 to 30 months old: 4,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 190 of 4,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mewgenics (15.9% of the money): 4,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,326 of 4,279.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cute + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.