Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cute + RPG
Games tagged both Cute and RPG: 326 indie paid launches, 30 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cute + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Cute and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cute + RPG beats both its tags: 22.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.9 in 100 for Cute and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.
That is about 1.3 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 86 games tagged both Cute and RPG priced $10 to $20. 22.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.6 in 100 for Cute-only games and 17.0 in 100 for RPG-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 86 games priced $10 to $20; 22.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $11,073.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 86 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cute + RPG holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view279 of 326 launches | Without the breakout325 of 326 launches | Last 18 months95 of 326 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 32630 hits | 27927 hits | 32529 hits | 9510 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.7 in 1001 in 10 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 10.5 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,349top tenth $64,352+ | $1,349 | $1,277 | $923 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +5.2%0.5 more in 100 | -3.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | +14.4%1.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -5.3%$72 less | -31.6%$426 less; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 326 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Fields of Mistria (27.8% of the money): 325 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 95 of 326.
Cute is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,654 of 3,828 launches | Without the breakout3,827 of 3,828 launches | Last 18 months1,117 of 3,828 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,828195 hits | 3,654176 hits | 3,827194 hits | 1,11768 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $631top tenth $26,702+ | $664 | $630 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.4%0.3 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +19.5%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.2%$33 more | -0.2%$1 less | -3.8%$24 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,828 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 174 of 3,828 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (4.9% of the money): 3,827 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,117 of 3,828.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launches | Without the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launches | Last 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,715270 hits | 3,125225 hits | 3,714269 hits | 1,01882 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $675top tenth $51,629+ | $729 | $675 | $859 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | +10.8%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.0%$54 more | 0.0%no change | +27.3%$184 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cute + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.