Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cute + JRPG
Games tagged both Cute and JRPG: 95 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cute + JRPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Cute and trails JRPG; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cute + JRPG trails both its tags: 2.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for Cute and 10.5 in 100 for JRPG.
That is 1 in 37, about 0.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 37 games tagged both Cute and JRPG priced $10 to $20. 2.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.1 for Cute-only games and 12.5 for JRPG-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 37 games priced $10 to $20; 2.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 37), typical first-year earnings $4,807.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 37 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cute + JRPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view78 of 95 launches | Without the breakout94 of 95 launches | Last 18 months55 of 95 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 955 hits | 784 hits | 944 hits | 553 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,125top tenth $25,501+ | $1,821 | $2,125 | $3,038 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | -18.9%1.0 fewer in 100 | +3.8%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -14.3%$304 less | 0.0%no change | +43.0%$913 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and JRPG, 6 to 30 months old: 95 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 95 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bloomtown: A Different Story (28.7% of the money): 94 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 55 of 95.
Cute holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,089 of 4,279 launches | Without the breakout4,278 of 4,279 launches | Last 18 months2,326 of 4,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,279218 hits | 4,089200 hits | 4,278217 hits | 2,326111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $725top tenth $28,533+ | $727 | $725 | $642 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.9%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.3%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -11.4%$83 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 6 to 30 months old: 4,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 190 of 4,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mewgenics (15.9% of the money): 4,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,326 of 4,279.
JRPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| JRPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view534 of 626 launches | Without the breakout625 of 626 launches | Last 18 months333 of 626 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 62642 hits | 53435 hits | 62541 hits | 33323 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,214top tenth $55,628+ | $1,214 | $1,214 | $1,617 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | +3.0%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +33.2%$403 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 6 to 30 months old: 626 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 92 of 626 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Elin (14.1% of the money): 625 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 333 of 626.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cute + JRPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.