Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cute + Fantasy
Games tagged both Cute and Fantasy: 237 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cute + Fantasy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Cute and is about level with Fantasy; priced $10 to $20 it trails Cute and is about level with Fantasy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cute + Fantasy trails Cute and is about level with Fantasy: 14.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.3 in 100 for Cute and 13.2 in 100 for Fantasy.
That is about 0.7 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 48 games tagged both Cute and Fantasy priced $10 to $20. 14.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.6 in 100 for Cute-only games and 13.0 in 100 for Fantasy-only games, so the mix trails Cute alone and is about level with Fantasy alone.
Both: 48 games priced $10 to $20; 14.6 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 90 in 100 · $10k+ 52 in 100 · $100k+ 15 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 48 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cute + Fantasy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view231 of 237 launches | Without the breakout236 of 237 launches | Last 18 months74 of 237 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 23714 hits | 23113 hits | 23613 hits | 745 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $722top tenth $28,872+ | $709 | $722 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -6.7%0.4 fewer in 100 | +14.4%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.8%$13 less | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 237 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 237 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rabbit and Steel (31.0% of the money): 236 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 74 of 237.
Cute is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,654 of 3,829 launches | Without the breakout3,828 of 3,829 launches | Last 18 months1,116 of 3,829 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,829221 hits | 3,654202 hits | 3,828220 hits | 1,11677 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.7 in 1001 in 17 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $641top tenth $32,649+ | $661 | $641 | $632 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +19.5%1.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.1%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -1.4%$9 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,829 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 175 of 3,829 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (5.1% of the money): 3,828 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,116 of 3,829.
Fantasy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Fantasy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,691 of 1,771 launches | Without the breakout1,770 of 1,771 launches | Last 18 months517 of 1,771 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,771108 hits | 1,691104 hits | 1,770107 hits | 51737 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $567top tenth $31,415+ | $595 | $567 | $625 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.9%0.1 more in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +17.4%1.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.9%$28 more | 0.0%no change | +10.2%$58 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,771 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,771 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (23.5% of the money): 1,770 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 517 of 1,771.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cute + Fantasy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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