Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Crafting + Survival
Games tagged both Crafting and Survival: 151 indie paid launches, 39 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Crafting + Survival priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Crafting and is about level with Survival.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Crafting + Survival trails Crafting and is about level with Survival: 25.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.2 in 100 for Crafting and 24.3 in 100 for Survival.
That is about 1.2 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 64 games tagged both Crafting and Survival priced $10 to $20. 25.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 29.6 in 100 for Crafting-only games and 23.9 in 100 for Survival-only games, so the mix trails Crafting alone and is about level with Survival alone.
Both: 64 games priced $10 to $20; 25.0 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 94 in 100 · $10k+ 61 in 100 · $100k+ 25 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 64 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Crafting + Survival is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view147 of 151 launches | Without the breakout150 of 151 launches | Last 18 months38 of 151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15139 hits | 14738 hits | 15038 hits | 389 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 25.8 in 100 | 25.9 in 100 | 25.3 in 100 | 23.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $6,232top tenth $1,232,667+ | $6,232 | $6,232 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.1%no change | -1.9%0.5 fewer in 100 | -8.3%2.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (54.3% of the money): 150 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 38 of 151.
Crafting holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Crafting | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view624 of 645 launches | Without the breakout644 of 645 launches | Last 18 months201 of 645 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 645116 hits | 624114 hits | 644115 hits | 20134 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.0 in 100 | 18.3 in 100 | 17.9 in 100 | 16.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,393top tenth $310,467+ | $2,621 | $2,393 | $2,682 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.6%0.3 more in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.9%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +9.5%$228 more | 0.0%no change | +12.1%$289 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 12 to 36 months old: 645 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 645 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.7% of the money): 644 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 201 of 645.
Survival holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Survival | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view975 of 1,018 launches | Without the breakout1,017 of 1,018 launches | Last 18 months269 of 1,018 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,018105 hits | 975102 hits | 1,017104 hits | 26923 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.3 in 100 | 10.5 in 100 | 10.2 in 100 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,115top tenth $107,290+ | $1,138 | $1,095 | $1,068 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.1%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.1%$23 more | -1.8%$20 less | -4.2%$47 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 1,018 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 43 of 1,018 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (39.6% of the money): 1,017 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 269 of 1,018.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Crafting + Survival moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.