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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Crafting + RPG

Niche

Crafting + RPG

Games tagged both Crafting and RPG: 126 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Crafting + RPG priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

47 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

1STWinner
Tag oneCrafting
29.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds29.4 in 100
Typical earnings$24,288
Launches231 / 68 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairCrafting + RPG
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches47

47 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

2NDRunner-up
Tag twoRPG
18.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.5 in 100
Typical earnings$10,017
Launches881 / 163 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 47 games tagged both Crafting and RPG priced $10 to $20. 23.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 31.0 for Crafting-only games and 18.2 for RPG-only games, so the mix trails Crafting alone and beats RPG alone.

Both: 47 games priced $10 to $20; 23.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $18,938.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 47 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Pax Deileads this pair24.1%
PairPax Dei24.1%
CraftingSchedule I42.5%
RPGPath of Exile 216.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Crafting + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Pax Dei earned 24.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 126 Crafting + RPG launches.
  • Crafting is led by Schedule I, with 42.5% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Crafting + RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Crafting + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view117 of 126 launchesWithout the breakout125 of 126 launchesLast 18 months70 of 126 launches
Launches counted12622 hits11722 hits12521 hits7011 hits
Earned $100k+17.5 in 10018.8 in 10016.8 in 10015.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$4,245top tenth $275,667+$4,245$4,048$2,550
Chance against standardthe yardstick+7.4%1.3 more in 100-4.0%0.7 fewer in 100-10.3%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change-4.6%$197 less-39.9%$1,695 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 126 launches.

Launches counted
12622 hits
Earned $100k+
17.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$4,245top tenth $275,667+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
11722 hits
Earned $100k+
18.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$4,245
Chance against standard
+7.4%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Pax Dei (24.1% of the money): 125 launches left.

Launches counted
12521 hits
Earned $100k+
16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$4,048
Chance against standard
-4.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-4.6%$197 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 70 of 126.

Launches counted
7011 hits
Earned $100k+
15.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,550
Chance against standard
-10.3%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-39.9%$1,695 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 126 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Pax Dei (24.1% of the money): 125 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 70 of 126.

Crafting holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Crafting through every lens, all prices
CraftingBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view710 of 736 launchesWithout the breakout735 of 736 launchesLast 18 months433 of 736 launches
Launches counted736114 hits710114 hits735113 hits43362 hits
Earned $100k+15.5 in 10016.1 in 10015.4 in 10014.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$2,428top tenth $250,165+$2,448$2,428$2,023
Chance against standardthe yardstick+3.9%0.6 more in 100-0.6%0.1 fewer in 100-7.7%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+0.8%$20 more0.0%no change-16.7%$405 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.

Launches counted
736114 hits
Earned $100k+
15.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,428top tenth $250,165+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
710114 hits
Earned $100k+
16.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,448
Chance against standard
+3.9%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+0.8%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (42.5% of the money): 735 launches left.

Launches counted
735113 hits
Earned $100k+
15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,428
Chance against standard
-0.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 433 of 736.

Launches counted
43362 hits
Earned $100k+
14.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,023
Chance against standard
-7.7%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-16.7%$405 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (42.5% of the money): 735 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 433 of 736.

RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launchesWithout the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launchesLast 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches
Launches counted4,151319 hits3,513268 hits4,150318 hits2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+7.7 in 1001 in 137.6 in 1001 in 137.7 in 1001 in 137.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$708top tenth $62,744+$728$708$607
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.3%0.1 fewer in 1000.0%no change-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+2.8%$20 more0.0%no change-14.3%$101 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.

Launches counted
4,151319 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708top tenth $62,744+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,513268 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.8%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.

Launches counted
4,150318 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

Launches counted
2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$607
Chance against standard
-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$101 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Crafting + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.