Niche

Crafting + Puzzle

Games tagged both Crafting and Puzzle: 67 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Crafting + Puzzle priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Crafting + Puzzle is too small to compare with Crafting and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 2 of its 18 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 25.5 in 100 for Crafting and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle.

Small sample: 18 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneCrafting

25.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds25.5 in 100

Typical earnings$20,351

Launches216 / 55 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCrafting + Puzzle

2 of 18launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 18 launches

Typical earnings$2,258

Launches18 / 2 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoPuzzle

12.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds12.4 in 100

Typical earnings$3,798

Launches686 / 85 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices67 in pair Under $526 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair $10 to $2018 in pair$20 to $404: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 18 games tagged both Crafting and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 2 of 18 of them earned $100k+, against 26.8 in 100 for Crafting-only games and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Crafting alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 18 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 18 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,258.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 18 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

shapez 2 - Factoryleads this pair84.9%

Pairshapez 2 - Factory84.9%

CraftingPalworld37.8%

PuzzleBlue Prince7.2%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Crafting + Puzzle

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

shapez 2 - Factory earned 84.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 67 Crafting + Puzzle launches.
Crafting is led by Palworld, with 37.8% of its money.
Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.2% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Crafting + Puzzle is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Crafting + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view65 of 67 launches	Without the breakout66 of 67 launches	Last 18 months11 of 67 launches
Launches counted	674 hits	654 hits	663 hits	111 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 67too few for a rate	4 of 65too few for a rate	3 of 66too few for a rate	1 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$908top tenth $50,602+	$941	$908	$1,245
Chance against standard	the base	+3.1%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell	-23.9%1.4 fewer in 100	+52.3%3.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+3.6%$33 more; too few to tell	0.0%no change	+37.1%$337 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 67 launches.

Launches counted: 674 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 67too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $908top tenth $50,602+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 67 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 654 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 65too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $941
Chance against standard: +3.1%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +3.6%$33 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, shapez 2 - Factory (84.9% of the money): 66 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 663 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 66too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $908
Chance against standard: -23.9%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 67.

Launches counted: 111 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,245
Chance against standard: +52.3%3.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +37.1%$337 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 67 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 67 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, shapez 2 - Factory (84.9% of the money): 66 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 67.

Crafting holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Crafting through every lens, all prices
Crafting	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view623 of 644 launches	Without the breakout643 of 644 launches	Last 18 months202 of 644 launches
Launches counted	644106 hits	623104 hits	643105 hits	20232 hits
Earned $100k+	16.5 in 100	16.7 in 100	16.3 in 100	15.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,116top tenth $230,064+	$2,192	$2,085	$2,298
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.2 more in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-3.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.6%$76 more	-1.5%$31 less	+8.6%$182 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 12 to 36 months old: 644 launches.

Launches counted: 644106 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,116top tenth $230,064+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 644 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 623104 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,192
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +3.6%$76 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (37.8% of the money): 643 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 643105 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,085
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.5%$31 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 202 of 644.

Launches counted: 20232 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,298
Chance against standard: -3.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +8.6%$182 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 12 to 36 months old: 644 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 644 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (37.8% of the money): 643 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 202 of 644.

Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
Puzzle	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,057 of 5,257 launches	Without the breakout5,256 of 5,257 launches	Last 18 months1,499 of 5,257 launches
Launches counted	5,257163 hits	5,057152 hits	5,256162 hits	1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$405top tenth $12,506+	$421	$405	$402
Chance against standard	the base	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.6%no change	+14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$16 more	0.0%no change	-0.7%$3 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.

Launches counted: 5,257163 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $405top tenth $12,506+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,057152 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $421
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.0%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5,256162 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $405
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

Launches counted: 1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $402
Chance against standard: +14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -0.7%$3 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Crafting + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.