Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Crafting + Open World
Crafting + Open World
Games tagged both Crafting and Open World: 124 indie paid launches, 33 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Crafting + Open World priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Crafting and is level with Open World.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Crafting + Open World trails Crafting and is level with Open World: 26.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 29.4 in 100 for Crafting and 26.6 in 100 for Open World.
That is about 1.4 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 65 games tagged both Crafting and Open World priced $10 to $20. 26.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 30.7 for Crafting-only games and 26.8 for Open World-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 65 games priced $10 to $20; 26.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $32,013.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 65 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Crafting + Open World holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view121 of 124 launches | Without the breakout123 of 124 launches | Last 18 months71 of 124 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 12433 hits | 12133 hits | 12332 hits | 7118 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 26.6 in 100 | 27.3 in 100 | 26.0 in 100 | 25.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $12,144top tenth $1,036,140+ | $12,144 | $10,722 | $10,525 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.6%0.7 more in 100 | -2.3%0.6 fewer in 100 | -4.5%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -11.7%$1,422 less | -13.3%$1,619 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Open World, 6 to 30 months old: 124 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 124 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (68.4% of the money): 123 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 71 of 124.
Crafting holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Crafting | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view710 of 736 launches | Without the breakout735 of 736 launches | Last 18 months433 of 736 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 736114 hits | 710114 hits | 735113 hits | 43362 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.5 in 100 | 16.1 in 100 | 15.4 in 100 | 14.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,428top tenth $250,165+ | $2,448 | $2,428 | $2,023 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%0.6 more in 100 | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.7%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.8%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -16.7%$405 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (42.5% of the money): 735 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 433 of 736.
Open World holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Open World | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view877 of 926 launches | Without the breakout925 of 926 launches | Last 18 months474 of 926 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 926151 hits | 877142 hits | 925150 hits | 47471 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 16.3 in 100 | 16.2 in 100 | 16.2 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,103top tenth $336,387+ | $2,185 | $2,062 | $1,943 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -8.0%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%$82 more | -1.9%$41 less | -7.6%$160 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 6 to 30 months old: 926 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 926 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (28.6% of the money): 925 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 474 of 926.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Crafting + Open World moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.