Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cozy + Sandbox
Games tagged both Cozy and Sandbox: 58 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cozy + Sandbox priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Sandbox.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cozy + Sandbox is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Sandbox: 9 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 50.9 in 100 for Cozy and 32.8 in 100 for Sandbox.
Small sample: 15 launches, 9 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Cozy and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 9 of 15 of them earned $100k+, against 49.5 in 100 for Cozy-only games and 31.6 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cozy alone and is too small to compare with Sandbox alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 9 of 15 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 15 launches · $10k+ 14 of 15 launches · $100k+ 9 of 15 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cozy + Sandbox holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view57 of 58 launches | Without the breakout57 of 58 launches | Last 18 months26 of 58 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5816 hits | 5715 hits | 5715 hits | 268 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 27.6 in 100 | 26.3 in 100 | 26.3 in 100 | 8 of 26too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 48 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 71 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.6%1.3 fewer in 100 | -4.6%1.3 fewer in 100 | +11.5%3.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 58 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 58 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Glade (31.1% of the money): 57 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 58.
Cozy is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Cozy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view484 of 491 launches | Without the breakout490 of 491 launches | Last 18 months194 of 491 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49185 hits | 48481 hits | 49084 hits | 19441 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.3 in 100 | 16.7 in 100 | 17.1 in 100 | 21.1 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,465top tenth $270,568+ | $2,345 | $2,465 | $3,132 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.3%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | +22.1%3.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -4.9%$120 less | 0.0%no change | +27.1%$667 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 491 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 491 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 490 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 491.
Sandbox holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,173 of 1,220 launches | Without the breakout1,219 of 1,220 launches | Last 18 months386 of 1,220 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,220206 hits | 1,173194 hits | 1,219205 hits | 38665 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 16.9 in 100 | 16.5 in 100 | 16.8 in 100 | 16.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,007top tenth $290,975+ | $2,070 | $1,992 | $2,439 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.1%$63 more | -0.7%$15 less | +21.5%$432 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,220 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,220 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (23.1% of the money): 1,219 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 386 of 1,220.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cozy + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.