Niche

Cozy + Puzzle

Games tagged both Cozy and Puzzle: 210 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Cozy + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Cozy and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Puzzle.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Cozy + Puzzle is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 8 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 50.9 in 100 for Cozy and 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle.

Small sample: 16 launches, 8 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneCozy

50.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds50.9 in 100

Typical earnings$117,666

Launches112 / 57 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCozy + Puzzle

8 of 16launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds8 of 16 launches

$1k+15 of 16 launches

$10k+14 of 16 launches

Launches16 / 8 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoPuzzle

14.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.3 in 100

Typical earnings$5,070

Launches684 / 98 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices210 in pair Under $5157 in pair $5 to $1035 in pair $10 to $2016 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both Cozy and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 8 of 16 of them earned $100k+, against 51.0 in 100 for Cozy-only games and 13.5 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cozy alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 8 of 16 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 16 launches · $10k+ 14 of 16 launches · $100k+ 8 of 16 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Is This Seat Taken?leads this pair21.1%

PairIs This Seat Taken?21.1%

CozyHello Kitty Island Adventure10.0%

PuzzleBlue Prince7.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Cozy + Puzzle

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Is This Seat Taken? earned 21.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 210 Cozy + Puzzle launches.
Cozy is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 10.0% of its money.
Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Cozy + Puzzle is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Cozy + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view207 of 210 launches	Without the breakout209 of 210 launches	Last 18 months74 of 210 launches
Launches counted	21013 hits	20712 hits	20912 hits	7410 hits
Earned $100k+	6.2 in 1001 in 16	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.7 in 1001 in 17	13.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,139top tenth $41,519+	$1,134	$1,137	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-6.4%0.4 fewer in 100	-7.3%0.4 fewer in 100	+118.3%7.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-0.4%$5 less	-0.2%$2 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 210 launches.

Launches counted: 21013 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,139top tenth $41,519+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 210 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 20712 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,134
Chance against standard: -6.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$5 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Is This Seat Taken? (21.1% of the money): 209 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 20912 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,137
Chance against standard: -7.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.2%$2 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 74 of 210.

Launches counted: 7410 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +118.3%7.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 210 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 210 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Is This Seat Taken? (21.1% of the money): 209 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 74 of 210.

Cozy is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Cozy through every lens, all prices
Cozy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view484 of 491 launches	Without the breakout490 of 491 launches	Last 18 months194 of 491 launches
Launches counted	49185 hits	48481 hits	49084 hits	19441 hits
Earned $100k+	17.3 in 100	16.7 in 100	17.1 in 100	21.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,465top tenth $270,568+	$2,345	$2,465	$3,132
Chance against standard	the base	-3.3%0.6 fewer in 100	-1.0%0.2 fewer in 100	+22.1%3.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-4.9%$120 less	0.0%no change	+27.1%$667 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 491 launches.

Launches counted: 49185 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,465top tenth $270,568+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 491 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 48481 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,345
Chance against standard: -3.3%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -4.9%$120 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 490 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 49084 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,465
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 491.

Launches counted: 19441 hits
Earned $100k+: 21.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,132
Chance against standard: +22.1%3.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +27.1%$667 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 491 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 491 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 490 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 491.

Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
Puzzle	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches	Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches	Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches
Launches counted	5,256185 hits	5,055174 hits	5,255184 hits	1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+	3.5 in 1001 in 28	3.4 in 1001 in 29	3.5 in 1001 in 29	4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings	$421top tenth $14,242+	$428	$421	$428
Chance against standard	the base	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.5%no change	+12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$7 more	0.0%no change	+1.7%$7 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.

Launches counted: 5,256185 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $421top tenth $14,242+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,055174 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $428
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$7 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5,255184 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $421
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

Launches counted: 1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $428
Chance against standard: +12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$7 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Cozy + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.