Niche

Cozy + Nature

Games tagged both Cozy and Nature: 46 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Cozy + Nature priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Cozy and beats Nature; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Nature.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Cozy + Nature is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Nature: 4 of its 12 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 50.9 in 100 for Cozy and 22.5 in 100 for Nature.

Small sample: 12 launches, 4 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneCozy

50.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds50.9 in 100

Typical earnings$117,666

Launches112 / 57 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCozy + Nature

4 of 12launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 12 launches

$1k+12 of 12 launches

$10k+12 of 12 launches

Launches12 / 4 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoNature

22.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.5 in 100

$1k+84 in 100

$10k+60 in 100

Launches80 / 18 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices46 in pair Under $522 in pair $5 to $1011 in pair $10 to $2012 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both Cozy and Nature priced $10 to $20. 4 of 12 of them earned $100k+, against 53.0 in 100 for Cozy-only games and 20.6 in 100 for Nature-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cozy alone and is too small to compare with Nature alone.

Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 12 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 12 of 12 launches · $10k+ 12 of 12 launches · $100k+ 4 of 12 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Gameleads this pair51.1%

PairTales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game51.1%

CozyHello Kitty Island Adventure10.0%

NatureLost Records: Bloom & Rage18.7%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Cozy + Nature

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game earned 51.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 46 Cozy + Nature launches.
Cozy is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 10.0% of its money.
Nature is led by Lost Records: Bloom & Rage, with 18.7% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Cozy + Nature is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Cozy + Nature through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view45 of 46 launches	Without the breakout45 of 46 launches	Last 18 months22 of 46 launches
Launches counted	467 hits	457 hits	456 hits	223 hits
Earned $100k+	15.2 in 100	15.6 in 100	13.3 in 100	3 of 22too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	46 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 76 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+2.2%0.3 more in 100	-12.4%1.9 fewer in 100	-10.4%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Nature, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.

Launches counted: 467 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 46 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 76 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 457 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.6 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +2.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game (51.1% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 456 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.3 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -12.4%1.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 46.

Launches counted: 223 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 22too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -10.4%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Nature, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game (51.1% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 46.

Cozy is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Cozy through every lens, all prices
Cozy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view484 of 491 launches	Without the breakout490 of 491 launches	Last 18 months194 of 491 launches
Launches counted	49185 hits	48481 hits	49084 hits	19441 hits
Earned $100k+	17.3 in 100	16.7 in 100	17.1 in 100	21.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,465top tenth $270,568+	$2,345	$2,465	$3,132
Chance against standard	the base	-3.3%0.6 fewer in 100	-1.0%0.2 fewer in 100	+22.1%3.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-4.9%$120 less	0.0%no change	+27.1%$667 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 491 launches.

Launches counted: 49185 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,465top tenth $270,568+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 491 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 48481 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,345
Chance against standard: -3.3%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -4.9%$120 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 490 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 49084 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,465
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 491.

Launches counted: 19441 hits
Earned $100k+: 21.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,132
Chance against standard: +22.1%3.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +27.1%$667 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 491 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 491 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 490 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 491.

Nature holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Nature through every lens, all prices
Nature	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view521 of 529 launches	Without the breakout528 of 529 launches	Last 18 months164 of 529 launches
Launches counted	52940 hits	52140 hits	52839 hits	16416 hits
Earned $100k+	7.6 in 1001 in 13	7.7 in 1001 in 13	7.4 in 1001 in 14	9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings	$566top tenth $56,402+	$558	$566	$442
Chance against standard	the base	+1.5%0.1 more in 100	-2.3%0.2 fewer in 100	+29.0%2.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.4%$8 less	0.0%no change	-21.9%$124 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Nature, 12 to 36 months old: 529 launches.

Launches counted: 52940 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $566top tenth $56,402+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 529 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 52140 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $558
Chance against standard: +1.5%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: -1.4%$8 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Records: Bloom & Rage (18.7% of the money): 528 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 52839 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $566
Chance against standard: -2.3%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 164 of 529.

Launches counted: 16416 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $442
Chance against standard: +29.0%2.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -21.9%$124 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Nature, 12 to 36 months old: 529 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 529 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Records: Bloom & Rage (18.7% of the money): 528 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 164 of 529.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Cozy + Nature moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.