Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Colorful + Exploration
Colorful + Exploration
Games tagged both Colorful and Exploration: 429 indie paid launches, 29 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Colorful + Exploration priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Colorful + Exploration beats Colorful and trails Exploration: 16.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.7 in 100 for Colorful and 20.1 in 100 for Exploration.
That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 89 games tagged both Colorful and Exploration priced $10 to $20. 16.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.2 for Colorful-only games and 20.5 for Exploration-only games, so the mix beats Colorful alone and trails Exploration alone.
Both: 89 games priced $10 to $20; 16.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,477.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 89 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Colorful + Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view416 of 429 launches | Without the breakout428 of 429 launches | Last 18 months221 of 429 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 42929 hits | 41628 hits | 42828 hits | 22116 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $56,171+ | $908 | $809 | $809 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -4.4%0.3 fewer in 100 | +5.9%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.2%$99 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 429 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 429 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (37.3% of the money): 428 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 221 of 429.
Colorful holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Colorful | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,038 of 3,082 launches | Without the breakout3,081 of 3,082 launches | Last 18 months1,714 of 3,082 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,082134 hits | 3,038130 hits | 3,081133 hits | 1,71470 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $364top tenth $17,195+ | $364 | $364 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -4.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.8%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 6 to 30 months old: 3,082 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 3,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 3,081 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,714 of 3,082.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Colorful + Exploration moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.