Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Collectathon + Simulation
Collectathon + Simulation
Games tagged both Collectathon and Simulation: 173 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Collectathon + Simulation priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Collectathon and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it beats Collectathon and is level with Simulation.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Collectathon + Simulation beats Collectathon and is level with Simulation: 21.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.8 in 100 for Collectathon and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 1.2 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 37 games tagged both Collectathon and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 21.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.7 for Collectathon-only games and 21.5 for Simulation-only games, so the mix beats Collectathon alone and is level with Simulation alone.
Both: 37 games priced $10 to $20; 21.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,896.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 37 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Collectathon + Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view167 of 173 launches | Without the breakout172 of 173 launches | Last 18 months113 of 173 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 17311 hits | 16711 hits | 17210 hits | 1136 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,007top tenth $59,921+ | $1,011 | $1,007 | $1,214 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%0.2 more in 100 | -9.4%0.6 fewer in 100 | -17.2%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.4%$4 more | 0.0%no change | +20.6%$207 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 173 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 173 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (72.3% of the money): 172 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 113 of 173.
Collectathon holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Collectathon | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view846 of 879 launches | Without the breakout878 of 879 launches | Last 18 months494 of 879 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 87939 hits | 84638 hits | 87838 hits | 49421 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $685top tenth $30,934+ | $707 | $685 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.3%0.1 more in 100 | -2.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.3%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.2%$22 more | 0.0%no change | -11.5%$79 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 6 to 30 months old: 879 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 879 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (50.7% of the money): 878 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 494 of 879.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Collectathon + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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