Niche

Collectathon + Colorful

Games tagged both Collectathon and Colorful: 94 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Collectathon + Colorful priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Collectathon and is about level with Colorful; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Collectathon and is too small to compare with Colorful.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Collectathon + Colorful is too small to compare with Collectathon and is too small to compare with Colorful: 3 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.9 in 100 for Collectathon and 17.0 in 100 for Colorful.

Small sample: 13 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneCollectathon

15.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.9 in 100

Typical earnings$8,758

Launches113 / 18 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCollectathon + Colorful

3 of 13launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 13 launches

$1k+9 of 13 launches

$10k+7 of 13 launches

Launches13 / 3 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagColorful

17.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.0 in 100

Typical earnings$6,897

Launches376 / 64 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Colorful is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices94 in pair Under $556 in pair $5 to $1023 in pair $10 to $2013 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both Collectathon and Colorful priced $10 to $20. 3 of 13 of them earned $100k+, against 15.0 in 100 for Collectathon-only games and 16.8 in 100 for Colorful-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Collectathon alone and is too small to compare with Colorful alone.

Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 13 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 9 of 13 launches · $10k+ 7 of 13 launches · $100k+ 3 of 13 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Mudborne: Frog Management Simleads this pair12.5%

PairMudborne: Frog Management Sim12.5%

CollectathonTCG Card Shop Simulator56.8%

ColorfulHello Kitty Island Adventure10.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Collectathon + Colorful

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Mudborne: Frog Management Sim earned 12.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 94 Collectathon + Colorful launches.
Collectathon is led by TCG Card Shop Simulator, with 56.8% of its money.
Colorful is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 10.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Collectathon + Colorful holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Collectathon + Colorful through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view92 of 94 launches	Without the breakout93 of 94 launches	Last 18 months19 of 94 launches
Launches counted	945 hits	925 hits	934 hits	190 hits
Earned $100k+	5.3 in 1001 in 19	5.4 in 1001 in 18	4 of 93too few for a rate	0 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	14 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 46 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+2.2%0.1 more in 100	-19.1%1.0 fewer in 100	-100.0%5.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 94 launches.

Launches counted: 945 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Chance of $10k+: 14 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 46 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 94 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 925 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 18
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +2.2%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mudborne: Frog Management Sim (12.5% of the money): 93 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 934 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 93too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -19.1%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 94.

Launches counted: 190 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%5.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 94 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 94 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Mudborne: Frog Management Sim (12.5% of the money): 93 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 94.

Collectathon is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Collectathon through every lens, all prices
Collectathon	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view711 of 745 launches	Without the breakout744 of 745 launches	Last 18 months220 of 745 launches
Launches counted	74531 hits	71130 hits	74430 hits	2208 hits
Earned $100k+	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.0 in 1001 in 25	3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$572top tenth $25,262+	$630	$572	$567
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.1 more in 100	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-12.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+10.1%$58 more	0.0%no change	-0.9%$5 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 745 launches.

Launches counted: 74531 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $572top tenth $25,262+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 745 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 71130 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $630
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +10.1%$58 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (56.8% of the money): 744 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 74430 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $572
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 220 of 745.

Launches counted: 2208 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $567
Chance against standard: -12.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.9%$5 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 745 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 745 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (56.8% of the money): 744 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 220 of 745.

Colorful is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Colorful through every lens, all prices
Colorful	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,804 of 2,850 launches	Without the breakout2,849 of 2,850 launches	Last 18 months837 of 2,850 launches
Launches counted	2,850137 hits	2,804132 hits	2,849136 hits	83742 hits
Earned $100k+	4.8 in 1001 in 21	4.7 in 1001 in 21	4.8 in 1001 in 21	5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings	$321top tenth $17,251+	$328	$320	$268
Chance against standard	the base	-2.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.7%no change	+4.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.2%$7 more	-0.3%$1 less	-16.5%$53 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,850 launches.

Launches counted: 2,850137 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $321top tenth $17,251+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 2,850 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,804132 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $328
Chance against standard: -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +2.2%$7 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.6% of the money): 2,849 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,849136 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $320
Chance against standard: -0.7%no change
Typical against standard: -0.3%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 837 of 2,850.

Launches counted: 83742 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: +4.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -16.5%$53 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,850 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 2,850 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.6% of the money): 2,849 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 837 of 2,850.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Collectathon + Colorful moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.