Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / City Builder + Simulation
City Builder + Simulation
Games tagged both City Builder and Simulation: 246 indie paid launches, 54 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing City Builder + Simulation priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
78 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
78 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 78 games tagged both City Builder and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 26.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 32.8 in 100 for City Builder-only games and 23.5 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix trails City Builder alone and beats Simulation alone.
Both: 78 games priced $10 to $20; 26.9 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 77 in 100 · $10k+ 53 in 100 · $100k+ 27 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 78 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
City Builder + Simulation is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view229 of 246 launches | Without the breakout245 of 246 launches | Last 18 months66 of 246 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24654 hits | 22952 hits | 24553 hits | 6619 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 22.0 in 100 | 22.7 in 100 | 21.6 in 100 | 28.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,928top tenth $478,328+ | $3,345 | $2,739 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.4%0.8 more in 100 | -1.5%0.3 fewer in 100 | +31.1%6.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.2%$417 more | -6.5%$189 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both City Builder and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 246 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 246 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (55.2% of the money): 245 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 66 of 246.
City Builder is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| City Builder | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view477 of 507 launches | Without the breakout506 of 507 launches | Last 18 months128 of 507 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 50791 hits | 47789 hits | 50690 hits | 12826 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.9 in 100 | 18.7 in 100 | 17.8 in 100 | 20.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,916top tenth $379,569+ | $2,188 | $1,916 | $4,213 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.0%0.7 more in 100 | -0.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | +13.2%2.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.2%$272 more | 0.0%no change | +119.9%$2,297 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged City Builder, 12 to 36 months old: 507 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 30 of 507 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (41.1% of the money): 506 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 128 of 507.
Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,191 of 4,442 launches | Without the breakout4,441 of 4,442 launches | Last 18 months1,386 of 4,442 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,442408 hits | 4,191389 hits | 4,441407 hits | 1,386133 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $929top tenth $86,074+ | $1,011 | $928 | $1,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.2%no change | +4.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.8%$82 more | -0.1%$1 less | +8.8%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when City Builder + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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