Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / City Builder + Sandbox
City Builder + Sandbox
Games tagged both City Builder and Sandbox: 139 indie paid launches, 40 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing City Builder + Sandbox priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
City Builder + Sandbox beats both its tags: 33.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.1 in 100 for City Builder and 30.7 in 100 for Sandbox.
That is about 1.8 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 39 games tagged both City Builder and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 33.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.9 for City Builder-only games and 30.4 for Sandbox-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 39 games priced $10 to $20; 33.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $38,861.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 39 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
City Builder + Sandbox is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view133 of 139 launches | Without the breakout138 of 139 launches | Last 18 months67 of 139 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 13940 hits | 13338 hits | 13839 hits | 6717 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 28.8 in 100 | 28.6 in 100 | 28.3 in 100 | 25.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $8,496top tenth $1,027,376+ | $8,499 | $8,496 | $5,667 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -0.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.5 fewer in 100 | -11.8%3.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%$3 more | 0.0%no change | -33.3%$2,829 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both City Builder and Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 139 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 139 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (61.3% of the money): 138 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 67 of 139.
City Builder holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| City Builder | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view512 of 541 launches | Without the breakout540 of 541 launches | Last 18 months278 of 541 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 54181 hits | 51278 hits | 54080 hits | 27837 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.0 in 100 | 15.2 in 100 | 14.8 in 100 | 13.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,982top tenth $250,207+ | $2,225 | $1,982 | $1,840 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.3%0.2 more in 100 | -1.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -11.3%1.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.3%$243 more | 0.0%no change | -7.2%$142 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged City Builder, 6 to 30 months old: 541 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 541 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (43.1% of the money): 540 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 278 of 541.
Sandbox holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,352 of 1,394 launches | Without the breakout1,393 of 1,394 launches | Last 18 months822 of 1,394 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,394210 hits | 1,352198 hits | 1,393209 hits | 822109 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.1 in 100 | 14.6 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 | 13.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,841top tenth $239,640+ | $1,840 | $1,841 | $1,618 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.3%0.5 fewer in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -11.9%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -0.1%$1 less | 0.0%no change | -12.1%$223 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 1,394 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.6% of the money): 1,393 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 822 of 1,394.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when City Builder + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.