Niches / Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim

Niche

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim

Games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dating Sim: 157 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim beats Choose Your Own Adventure and is about level with Dating Sim: 18.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.0 in 100 for Choose Your Own Adventure and 19.3 in 100 for Dating Sim.

That is about 0.9 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird

Tag oneChoose Your Own Adventure

13.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.0 in 100

Typical earnings$6,187

Launches239 / 31 hits

Pair leads by5.8 in 100

TIEA tie

This pairChoose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim

18.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds18.8 in 100

$1k+70 in 100

$10k+44 in 100

Launches64 / 12 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoDating Sim

19.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.3 in 100

Typical earnings$9,798

Launches181 / 35 hits

A tie, apart by0.6 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices157 in pair Under $537 in pair $5 to $1035 in pair $10 to $2064 in pair $20 to $4021 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 64 games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dating Sim priced $10 to $20. 18.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 10.9 in 100 for Choose Your Own Adventure-only games and 19.7 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games, so the mix beats Choose Your Own Adventure alone and is about level with Dating Sim alone.

Both: 64 games priced $10 to $20; 18.8 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 70 in 100 · $10k+ 44 in 100 · $100k+ 19 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 64 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

I Wani Hug that Gator!leads this pair19.4%

PairI Wani Hug that Gator!19.4%

Choose Your Own AdventureThe Casting of Frank Stone™10.6%

Dating SimLegend of Mortal24.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

I Wani Hug that Gator! earned 19.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 157 Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim launches.
Choose Your Own Adventure is led by The Casting of Frank Stone™, with 10.6% of its money.
Dating Sim is led by Legend of Mortal, with 24.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view144 of 157 launches	Without the breakout156 of 157 launches	Last 18 months39 of 157 launches
Launches counted	15719 hits	14414 hits	15618 hits	396 hits
Earned $100k+	12.1 in 100	9.7 in 1001 in 10	11.5 in 100	15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$3,087top tenth $181,365+	$2,297	$3,087	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-19.7%2.4 fewer in 100	-4.7%0.6 fewer in 100	+27.1%3.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-25.6%$790 less	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 157 launches.

Launches counted: 15719 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,087top tenth $181,365+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 157 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 14414 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,297
Chance against standard: -19.7%2.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -25.6%$790 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, I Wani Hug that Gator! (19.4% of the money): 156 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 15618 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,087
Chance against standard: -4.7%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 157.

Launches counted: 396 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +27.1%3.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 157 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 157 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, I Wani Hug that Gator! (19.4% of the money): 156 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 157.

Choose Your Own Adventure is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Choose Your Own Adventure through every lens, all prices
Choose Your Own Adventure	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view991 of 1,031 launches	Without the breakout1,030 of 1,031 launches	Last 18 months285 of 1,031 launches
Launches counted	1,03158 hits	99149 hits	1,03057 hits	28521 hits
Earned $100k+	5.6 in 1001 in 18	4.9 in 1001 in 20	5.5 in 1001 in 18	7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$1,000top tenth $31,490+	$945	$1,000	$980
Chance against standard	the base	-12.1%0.7 fewer in 100	-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100	+31.0%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-5.5%$55 less	0.0%no change	-2.0%$20 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,031 launches.

Launches counted: 1,03158 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,000top tenth $31,490+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 1,031 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 99149 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $945
Chance against standard: -12.1%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -5.5%$55 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (10.6% of the money): 1,030 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,03057 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,000
Chance against standard: -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 1,031.

Launches counted: 28521 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $980
Chance against standard: +31.0%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: -2.0%$20 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,031 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 1,031 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (10.6% of the money): 1,030 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 1,031.

Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
Dating Sim	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view496 of 630 launches	Without the breakout629 of 630 launches	Last 18 months153 of 630 launches
Launches counted	63062 hits	49642 hits	62961 hits	15314 hits
Earned $100k+	9.8 in 1001 in 10	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.7 in 1001 in 10	9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$2,513top tenth $99,496+	$2,359	$2,504	$2,359
Chance against standard	the base	-14.0%1.4 fewer in 100	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-7.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-6.1%$154 less	-0.4%$9 less	-6.1%$154 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.

Launches counted: 63062 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,513top tenth $99,496+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 49642 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: -14.0%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$154 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 62961 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,504
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$9 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.

Launches counted: 15314 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: -7.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$154 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.