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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Choices Matter + First-Person

Niche

Choices Matter + First-Person

Games tagged both Choices Matter and First-Person: 146 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Choices Matter + First-Person priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Choices Matter + First-Person beats both its tags: 8 of its 29 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Choices Matter and 23.2 in 100 for First-Person.

Small sample: 29 launches, 8 hits.

3RDThird
Tag onemood tagChoices Matter
20.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.1 in 100
Typical earnings$13,111
Launches284 / 57 hits
Pair leads by7.5 in 100
1STWinner
This pairChoices Matter + First-Person
8 of 29launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds8 of 29 launches
Typical earnings$16,046
Launches29 / 8 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
2NDRunner-up
Tag twomood tagFirst-Person
23.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.2 in 100
Typical earnings$10,321
Launches599 / 139 hits
Pair leads by4.4 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Choices Matter is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices146 in pairUnder $574 in pair$5 to $1040 in pair$10 to $2029 in pair$20 to $403: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 29 games tagged both Choices Matter and First-Person priced $10 to $20. 27.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.2 for Choices Matter-only games and 23.0 for First-Person-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 29 games priced $10 to $20; 27.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $16,046.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 29 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

No, I'm not a Humanleads this pair45.4%
PairNo, I'm not a Human45.4%
Choices MatterLegend of Mortal10.7%
First-PersonSchedule I16.7%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choices Matter + First-Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • No, I'm not a Human earned 45.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 146 Choices Matter + First-Person launches.
  • Choices Matter is led by Legend of Mortal, with 10.7% of its money.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 16.7% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choices Matter + First-Person is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Choices Matter + First-Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view142 of 146 launchesWithout the breakout145 of 146 launchesLast 18 months79 of 146 launches
Launches counted14614 hits14214 hits14513 hits799 hits
Earned $100k+9.6 in 1001 in 109.9 in 1001 in 109.0 in 1001 in 1111.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,416top tenth $83,751+$1,416$1,213$787
Chance against standardthe yardstick+3.1%0.3 more in 100-6.3%0.6 fewer in 100+18.8%1.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change-14.3%$203 less-44.4%$629 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 146 launches.

Launches counted
14614 hits
Earned $100k+
9.6 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$1,416top tenth $83,751+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 146 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
14214 hits
Earned $100k+
9.9 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$1,416
Chance against standard
+3.1%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (45.4% of the money): 145 launches left.

Launches counted
14513 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,213
Chance against standard
-6.3%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$203 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 79 of 146.

Launches counted
799 hits
Earned $100k+
11.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$787
Chance against standard
+18.8%1.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
-44.4%$629 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 146 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 146 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (45.4% of the money): 145 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 79 of 146.

Choices Matter is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Choices Matter through every lens, all prices
Choices MatterBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,292 of 1,354 launchesWithout the breakout1,353 of 1,354 launchesLast 18 months780 of 1,354 launches
Launches counted1,354106 hits1,29294 hits1,353105 hits78045 hits
Earned $100k+7.8 in 1001 in 137.3 in 1001 in 147.8 in 1001 in 135.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings$1,048top tenth $65,378+$1,029$1,029$709
Chance against standardthe yardstick-6.4%0.5 fewer in 1000.0%no change-25.6%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-1.8%$19 less-1.8%$19 less-32.3%$339 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.

Launches counted
1,354106 hits
Earned $100k+
7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$1,048top tenth $65,378+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,29294 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$1,029
Chance against standard
-6.4%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.8%$19 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.

Launches counted
1,353105 hits
Earned $100k+
7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$1,029
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-1.8%$19 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.

Launches counted
78045 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$709
Chance against standard
-25.6%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-32.3%$339 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.

First-Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,135 of 4,266 launchesWithout the breakout4,265 of 4,266 launchesLast 18 months2,372 of 4,266 launches
Launches counted4,266296 hits4,135284 hits4,265295 hits2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+6.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$849top tenth $40,885+$849$849$728
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change0.0%no change
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-14.3%$121 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.

Launches counted
4,266296 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849top tenth $40,885+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,135284 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.

Launches counted
4,265295 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

Launches counted
2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-14.3%$121 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choices Matter + First-Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.