Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Casual + Comedy: a typical launch earns $404 in its first year
That is the median of 210 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 29 of 466 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 20.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 63% on the year before: 433 against 266.
- Price
- $404 median of 210 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −44.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 433 266 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 822 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,517 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.54%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.27% to 1.01% | 51 ranked of 822 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #442 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.38xhits against expected | 1.06x to 1.80x | 466 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,045 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −23%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −34% to −10% | 79 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,058 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −8%review growth against same-age games | −14% to 0% | 79 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,207 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 466
- Hit rate
- 6.2%4.2% to 8.8%
- Expected rate
- 4.3%
- Against expected
- 1.38x1.06x to 1.80x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
465 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $484
- Top tenth
- $28,048
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +63%
- Against Steam
- +19%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- MECCHA CHAMELEON (opens the Steam store)2026 · 79,630 reviews, 87% positiveest. $9.3M
- Thank Goodness You're Here! (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,792 reviews, 96% positiveest. $3.1M
- Poker Night at the Inventory (opens the Steam store)2026 · 8,186 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.7M
- Dale & Dawson Stationery Supplies (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,800 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.3M
- Baby Steps (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,367 reviews, 90% positiveest. $958k
- How Many Dudes? (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,060 reviews, 89% positiveest. $852k
- Goat Simulator: Remastered (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,170 reviews, 88% positiveest. $711k
- Class of '09: The Flip Side (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,357 reviews, 57% positiveest. $679k
More with Casual
pairs with Casual- Casual + Job Simulator$8,44230 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Casual + LGBTQ+$4,15442 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Romance$2,61486 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Economy$2,204112 launches priced, 302 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Online Co-Op$1,970104 launches priced, 272 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Capitalism$1,92351 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Comedy
pairs with Comedy- Comedy + Story Rich$3,48872 launches priced, 98 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Comedy$2,12247 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Comedy + Multiple Endings$1,94233 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Comedy$1,70039 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Comedy + First-Person$1,63646 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Comedy + Physics$1,61742 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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